F Patient spread flip on Mahogany repair kit — housing commodity killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
buy ≤
1077
sell ≥
1134
kill @
1040
units
13.0k
gp/1h proj
113.8k
capital
14.30M
opened
6.8h ago
Housing players dumping Mahogany kit output at the bid and completionists/PMs buying at the ask sustain a 25–50 gp 5m-block spread across all 48h. Trend drifts up (1,070 → 1,130 over the day). Vol24h 529k makes the buy limit fillable (78k of 6×limit vs. 79k of 15% participation — very tight but positive).
Entry: Buy at 1,077 gp or lower (live low)
Exit: Sell at 1,134 gp or higher (live high); expect fill within a 4h cycle
Kill switch: Post-tax margin below 18 gp for two consecutive 4h blocks, OR live price breach of kill_price 1,040, OR low_age_s > 600s for two consecutive checks.
From run 466 · F-mahogany-repair-kit-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8h ago | kill_signal | 1153 | 1094 | 36 | 2473 | 19.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.2h ago | kill_signal | 1155 | 1144 | -12 | 1583 | -10.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.5h ago | kill_signal | 1155 | 1144 | -12 | 11.8k | -71.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.8h ago | healthy | 1161 | 1078 | 60 | 14.9k | 159.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |