F Patient spread flip on Blue dragon leather — deep crafting byproduct killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, exit_reachable, floor_ok)
buy ≤
2102
sell ≥
2188
kill @
2000
units
12.5k
gp/1h proj
134.4k
capital
28.60M
opened
6.8h ago
Crafters dumping blue d'hide output at the bid and questers/PvMers buying at the ask sustain a 40–60 gp 5m-block spread across all 48h of observed history. Vol24h 555k makes the buy limit fillable at honest size (13k × 6 = 78k vs. 83k of 15% participation — the tightest margin in this report, but still >0).
Entry: Buy at 2,102 gp or lower (live low)
Exit: Sell at 2,188 gp or higher (live high); expect fill within a 4h cycle
Kill switch: Post-tax margin below 20 gp for two consecutive 4h blocks, OR live price breach of kill_price 2,000, OR low_volume (1h sum) below 1,000.
From run 466 · F-blue-dragon-leather-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9h ago | kill_signal | 2131 | 2106 | -17 | 22.9k | -118.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.2h ago | kill_signal | 2131 | 2102 | -13 | 5980 | -61.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.5h ago | kill_signal | 2131 | 2102 | -13 | 5204 | -53.1k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.8h ago | healthy | 2188 | 2102 | 43 | 17.0k | 68.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |