F Patient spread flip on Ruby dragon bolts (e) — deep gem-bolt commodity killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, entry_reachable)
buy ≤
2882
sell ≥
2999
kill @
2800
units
11.0k
gp/1h proj
159.5k
capital
33.00M
opened
6.8h ago
Smithers dumping dragon-bolt output at the bid and PvMers paying up at the ask sustain a 30–60 gp 5m-block spread across all 48h of observed history. Vol24h 2.3M makes the buy limit fillable at honest size (11k × 6 cycles = 66k vs. 343k of 15% participation). Trend drifts up over the day, the sell leg improves.
Entry: Buy at 2,882 gp or lower (live low)
Exit: Sell at 2,999 gp or higher (live high); expect fill within a 4h cycle
Kill switch: Post-tax margin below 25 gp for two consecutive 4h blocks, OR live price breach of kill_price 2,800, OR vol5m dropping under 500 for 30 minutes.
From run 466 · F-ruby-dragon-bolts-e-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2h ago | kill_signal | 2940 | 2940 | -58 | 28.3k | -239.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.5h ago | kill_signal | 2940 | 2916 | -34 | 43.6k | -173.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.8h ago | kill_signal | 2940 | 2940 | -58 | 49.5k | -239.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |