idle · 7 open 0 armed 239 pending signals

F Snapdragon potion (unf) — member herblore decanter supply flip vetoed

vetoed at ship time: claimed per_cycle_gp 486618 exceeds 2x the live recomputation 126363 (margin 73 x 1731 fillable units)

buy ≤
7500
sell ≥
7727
kill @
7400
units
6666
gp/1h proj
121.7k
capital
49.99M
opened
37.8h ago

Snapdragon potions are member-restricted; the unf-to-(4) decanter pipeline creates two distinct supply/sell walls — suppliers move unf supply in chunks (less patient), decanter buyers bid tight on 4-dose (more patient). The unf leg therefore shows a 60-90gp structural spread. Capital-heavy (10k buy_limit × 7500 entry = 75M, exceeds 50M budget) so the strategy is sized at 6,666 units to stay inside budget. At 73gp post-tax × 6,666 = 486,618 gp/cycle.

Entry: Place buy offers at 7500 gp; refresh every 30 min.
Exit: Place sell offers at 7727 gp; refresh every 30 min.

Kill switch: Live low <7400 (kill_price breach); OR sustained unf spread <50gp for 24h (herblore market cooled); OR new unf-potion supplier event collapses the spread.

From run 423 · F-snapdragon-potion-unf-20260731

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