F Mahogany repair kit — Forestry to Construction patient flip killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: exit_reachable, vol_ok, floor_ok, margin_alive)
Mahogany repair kits are dropped by Forestry events (and store-buyable cheaply) but consumed by Construction users repairing mahogany furniture after the butler/mounted-games grind. The patient-flip edge is small per unit (32gp post-tax) but the volume pool is huge - 472k/day - and the buy_limit (13000) is generous. Cheap capital requirement (14M) makes this the lowest-risk option in the menu. Directly addresses collector signal 14459.
Entry: Place buy offers at 1081 gp; refresh every 60 min.
Exit: Place sell offers at 1135 gp; refresh every 60 min.
Kill switch: Live low <1040 OR sustained margin <25gp for 36 h. A Forestry droprate buff would be the most plausible regime change to watch.
From run 423 · F-mahogany-repair-kit-20260731
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.8h ago | kill_signal | 1072 | 1059 | -8 | 171 | -973 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 35.1h ago | kill_signal | 1072 | 1057 | -6 | 308 | -1568 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 35.4h ago | kill_signal | 1072 | 1050 | 1 | 2188 | -6562 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 35.7h ago | healthy | 1112 | 1048 | 42 | 19.1k | 100.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 36.0h ago | healthy | 1117 | 1054 | 41 | 12.4k | 97.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 36.3h ago | healthy | 1117 | 1054 | 41 | 5424 | 48.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 36.6h ago | kill_signal | 1072 | 1054 | -3 | 8677 | -36.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 36.8h ago | healthy | 1131 | 1054 | 55 | 9724 | 128.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 37.1h ago | kill_signal | 1133 | 1065 | 46 | 1309 | 13.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 37.4h ago | kill_signal | 1135 | 1135 | -22 | 17.8k | -107.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 37.7h ago | healthy | 1135 | 1079 | 34 | 8999 | 62.1k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |