idle · 7 open 0 armed 239 pending signals

F Green dragon leather — 39gp spread on a stable, high-volume commodity vetoed

vetoed at ship time: claimed per_cycle_gp 507000 exceeds 2x the live recomputation 238368 (margin 39 x 6112 fillable units)

buy ≤
1880
sell ≥
1958
kill @
units
13.0k
gp/1h proj
126.8k
capital
24.44M
opened
2.4h ago

Green dragon leather sustains a ~39 gp post-tax spread because green dragon hunters dump hides en masse (vol24h 538k) while crafters (green d'hide body crafting) and PvM buyers compete at the bid. Persistence 0.5 (above gate). Trend is the cleanest of the three: 28d daily closes oscillate in a tight 1830-2000 band, drift only ~+3%. This is the prototypical standing-spread candidate — both legs printing every 15-min window, low trend risk.

Entry: Buy at or below 1880 (live ask). Place buy offer for the full 13000-unit 4h limit; cancel if not filled within 4h.
Exit: Sell at or above 1958 (live bid). Place one sell offer for the held units; cancel/relist if not filled within 4h.

Kill switch: Post-tax margin < 20 gp for two consecutive quote checks. Also: a daily close above 2000 or below 1825 means the trend band has broken — reassess.

From run 470 · F-green-dragon-leather-20260802

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