F Anti-venom(4) — sustained ~222gp spread on a stable herbal potion killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: vol_ok, floor_ok)
Anti-venom(4) sustains a ~222 gp post-tax spread because PvM demand (snakeling, Wyrm, Zulrah stock) drives a persistent buy-side ask wall around 10,100-10,500, while suppliers dump at the bid. The 28d daily close band is 9700-11400 with current close 10541 — only +5% drift, range-bound enough that a flipper's sell leg is not eaten by a downtrend. margin_persistence_24h = 0.58 (25/25 hours saw positive spread); roundtrips_24h = 29 (both legs printing).
Entry: Buy at or below 10109 (live ask). Place a single buy offer for the full 2000-unit 4h limit; cancel if not filled within 4h.
Exit: Sell at or above 10541 (live bid). Place one sell offer for the held units; cancel/relist if not filled within 4h.
Kill switch: Post-tax margin < 100 gp for two consecutive quote checks (i.e. spread has halved). Also: a daily close below 9798 (28d low) means the uptrend has broken — stand down the cycle and reassess.
From run 470 · F-anti-venom-4-20260802
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4h ago | kill_signal | 10.4k | 10.0k | 159 | 107 | 1856 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 1.7h ago | kill_signal | 10.4k | 10.0k | 179 | 4449 | 38.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 2.1h ago | kill_signal | 10.2k | 10.2k | -203 | 3304 | -151.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 2.4h ago | healthy | 10.7k | 10.1k | 352 | 3152 | 124.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |