F Green dragon leather — patient range-bound spread flip killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, entry_reachable, exit_reachable, floor_ok)
buy ≤
1855
sell ≥
1990
kill @
1700
units
13.0k
gp/1h proj
312.0k
capital
24.11M
opened
5.8h ago
Green dragon leather sustains a ~96 gp post-tax spread on a 481k vol24h market. The spread is structural: crafters (d'hide vambs, green d'hide body) consistently accept above-mid offers while PvM drops dump at market. Range-bound 1700–1990 over 48h with both legs printing in ~85% of 15m buckets — not a one-off print.
Entry: Place a buy offer at 1855 gp (live low).
Exit: Sell at 1990 gp (live high; post-tax).
Kill switch: Post-tax margin below 40 gp on the live quote, or the spread collapses for >6 hours.
From run 467 · F-green-dragon-leather-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0h ago | kill_signal | 1947 | 1947 | -38 | 16.5k | -185.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 4.3h ago | kill_signal | 1975 | 1860 | 76 | 916 | 15.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 4.5h ago | kill_signal | 1947 | 1860 | 49 | 2854 | 25.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 4.8h ago | healthy | 1939 | 1848 | 53 | 12.2k | 110.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.1h ago | healthy | 1934 | 1848 | 48 | 15.2k | 94.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.5h ago | healthy | 1936 | 1840 | 58 | 32.3k | 126.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.8h ago | healthy | 1990 | 1862 | 89 | 42.2k | 227.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |