idle · 7 open 0 armed 239 pending signals

F Dragonstone dragon bolts (e) — range-bound spread flip vetoed

vetoed at ship time: claimed per_cycle_gp 979000 exceeds 2x the live recomputation 171503 (margin 89 x 1927 fillable units)

buy ≤
2410
sell ≥
2549
kill @
units
11.0k
gp/1h proj
244.8k
capital
26.51M
opened
7.8h ago

PvM/range ammo (dragonstone dragon bolts (e)) sustains an ~89gp post-tax spread at a flat 30d price band. Neither side places patient offers, so a patient offer at buy_limit fills the spread on every 4h cycle. Trend is flat (price_index ~0.98-1.02 across hour-of-week buckets; daily block-avg high-low spread ~80-130gp persistent over 7d), so the sell leg fills before the band moves enough to eat the spread.

Entry: Place a buy offer at 2,410 gp. Refresh every 4h until filled. Buy limit 11,000 per 4h.
Exit: When filled, immediately place a sell offer at 2,549 gp. Refresh every 4h until filled.

Kill switch: Close <2200 or >2800 on a daily block-avg closes the trend-break thesis; stand down 24h. If margin (quote.margin) <50gp on two consecutive 4h checks, the spread has compressed and the strategy is dead.

From run 465 · F-dragonstone-dragon-bolts-e-20260801

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