F Searing page — cyclical ZMI byproduct spread flip (capital-bound) killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
ZMI-runebook byproduct (searing page) cycles 16700-19400 over the 30d history. Daily block-avg high-low spread ~150-300gp persistent. Range-bound, currently mid-band at 18000 after bottoming on Jul 29-30 (~17000) and rebounding. The 98gp margin × 11000 buy limit = 1.08M gp/cycle at full size, but the high unit price means capital is the binding constraint at 2,849 units (50M cap). Still clears 200k gp/cycle floor comfortably.
Entry: Place a buy offer at 17,542 gp. Refresh every 4h until filled. Cap at 2,849 units (50M capital cap).
Exit: When filled, immediately place a sell offer at 17,999 gp. Refresh every 4h until filled.
Kill switch: Close >19500 (top of band) on a daily block-avg suggests a band break — the spread may compress to noise. Stand down if margin (quote.margin) <50gp on two consecutive 4h checks.
From run 465 · F-searing-page-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9h ago | kill_signal | 18.0k | 17.6k | 10 | 2932 | -118.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 3.2h ago | kill_signal | 18.0k | 18.0k | -337 | 2531 | -366.1k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 3.5h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 17.6k | 178 | 1564 | 938 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 3.7h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.6k | 179 | 1974 | 1776 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 4.1h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 186 | 2265 | 6115 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 4.4h ago | kill_signal | 18.0k | 18.0k | -338 | 951 | -146.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 4.7h ago | kill_signal | 18.0k | 17.5k | 86 | 1629 | -43.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.0h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 186 | 3636 | 6410 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.3h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 18.0k | -239 | 2024 | -253.1k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.6h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 182 | 1705 | 3069 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 5.9h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.6k | 150 | 3361 | -19.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.2h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.6k | 151 | 1144 | -8575 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.5h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 185 | 1737 | 4168 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 6.9h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 191 | 3633 | 9971 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 7.2h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.6k | 172 | 3293 | -3561 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 7.5h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 118 | 4128 | -41.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 7.8h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 98 | 1762 | -41.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |