F Burnt page — cyclical ZMI byproduct spread flip killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
ZMI-runebook byproduct (burnt page) cycles 5100-6900 over ~7-10d periods in the 30d history. The block-avg high-low spread within a day is consistently 100-250gp (avg ~180gp). Neither the buyers (ZMI grinders dumping batch output) nor the sellers (high-alch demand) place patient offers, leaving a structural spread. Currently mid-band after bottoming on Jul 31 (5100) and rebounding to 5719-5800; the cyclical pattern argues for offering into the next band-up move.
Entry: Place a buy offer at 5,606 gp. Refresh every 4h until filled. Cap at 8,918 units (50M capital cap).
Exit: When filled, immediately place a sell offer at 5,806 gp. Refresh every 4h until filled.
Kill switch: Close >7000 (top of band) on a daily block-avg suggests a band break to upside — the spread may compress. Stand down only if margin (quote.margin) <50gp on two consecutive 4h checks.
From run 465 · F-burnt-page-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9h ago | kill_signal | 5750 | 5610 | 25 | 5096 | -47.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 7.3h ago | kill_signal | 5608 | 5540 | -44 | 7870 | -220.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 7.6h ago | kill_signal | 5536 | 5501 | -75 | 4418 | -172.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 7.8h ago | healthy | 5792 | 5606 | 71 | 12.1k | 31.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |