F Patient spread flip on Ruby dragon bolts killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, entry_reachable, floor_ok)
Ruby dragon bolts sustain a ~44gp post-tax spread on 452k units/day of volume because ruby-bolt PvM crafters dump at market and ranged-PvM buyers pay up. Tiny margin but enormous vol (vol5m=14,580 — five times larger than Grimy torstol) means fill friction is near-zero. 30d daily-close band $2600-$3030, currently mid-band at $2852.
Entry: Place buy offer at 2762 gp. Cancel and re-quote if not filled within 2h.
Exit: Place sell offer at 2863 gp. Cancel and re-quote if not filled within 2h.
Kill switch: Margin falls below 35gp on a fresh quote and stays there for 2 consecutive checks; OR daily close breaks below $2700.
From run 463 · F-ruby-dragon-bolts-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2h ago | kill_signal | 2858 | 2858 | -57 | 17.2k | -233.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 8.4h ago | kill_signal | 2858 | 2858 | -57 | 15.2k | -233.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 8.7h ago | kill_signal | 2862 | 2855 | -50 | 16.6k | -214.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 9.1h ago | healthy | 2861 | 2773 | 31 | 8870 | 10.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 9.4h ago | healthy | 2862 | 2773 | 32 | 12.8k | 13.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 9.7h ago | healthy | 2862 | 2762 | 43 | 17.1k | 44.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |