F Yew longbow — patient spread flip killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, exit_reachable)
Yew longbow is a high-volume herblore intermediate that fends can make at ~1,800 gp/hr each. Buy-side are patient flippers and smithing alts dumping stock; sell-side are ranged/maged players who want the bow now. Neither side places patient patience-rich limit offers, so the GE-implied spread reopens to ~15-30 gp at ~570/540 over the day. The 21-day daily band is 494-558 gp and flat, so the sell leg is not eaten by a trend. Vol24h ~891k units, ~9x the per-cycle buy limit (18,000), so the 15% share constraint lets one full buy limit fill comfortably inside one window.
Entry: place buy offer at 541 gp; refresh if not filled in 5 min, cancel if ask lifts above 555
Exit: place sell offer at 572 gp; refresh if not filled in 5 min, cancel if bid falls below 550
Kill switch: Live margin below 10 gp for 4 consecutive hours; OR 21-day close band breaks below 480 (lower-edge violation = downtrend started); OR vol24h drops below 400k for two consecutive sweeps (liquidity evaporated - participation assumption fails).
From run 459 · F-yew-longbow-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2h ago | kill_signal | 551 | 550 | -10 | 12.9k | -54.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 13.4h ago | kill_signal | 572 | 551 | 10 | 11.3k | 16.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 13.8h ago | kill_signal | 572 | 556 | 5 | 10.3k | 0 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |