idle · 7 open 0 armed 239 pending signals

F Yew longbow — patient spread flip killed

kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, exit_reachable)

buy ≤
541
sell ≥
572
kill @
575
units
18.0k
gp/1h proj
90.0k
capital
9.74M
opened
13.8h ago

Yew longbow is a high-volume herblore intermediate that fends can make at ~1,800 gp/hr each. Buy-side are patient flippers and smithing alts dumping stock; sell-side are ranged/maged players who want the bow now. Neither side places patient patience-rich limit offers, so the GE-implied spread reopens to ~15-30 gp at ~570/540 over the day. The 21-day daily band is 494-558 gp and flat, so the sell leg is not eaten by a trend. Vol24h ~891k units, ~9x the per-cycle buy limit (18,000), so the 15% share constraint lets one full buy limit fill comfortably inside one window.

Entry: place buy offer at 541 gp; refresh if not filled in 5 min, cancel if ask lifts above 555
Exit: place sell offer at 572 gp; refresh if not filled in 5 min, cancel if bid falls below 550

Kill switch: Live margin below 10 gp for 4 consecutive hours; OR 21-day close band breaks below 480 (lower-edge violation = downtrend started); OR vol24h drops below 400k for two consecutive sweeps (liquidity evaporated - participation assumption fails).

From run 459 · F-yew-longbow-20260801

Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)

atverdicthighlowmarginvol 30mgp/1h nowchecks
13.2h ago kill_signal 551550-10 12.9k-54.2k entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok
13.4h ago kill_signal 57255110 11.3k16.9k entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok
13.8h ago kill_signal 5725565 10.3k0 entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok