F Diamond dragon bolts (e) — structural PvM-bolt spread killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: entry_reachable, floor_ok)
Persistent ~115gp post-tax spread on a structurally two-sided ranged commodity: ranged PvM buyers pay the ask, smithers/suppliers dump at the bid, neither side places patient offers so a patient flipper earns the spread at full buy limit. 21d weekly closes 2873/2797 → 2877/2815 confirm range-bound. 1.08M units/day of two-sided volume makes the size fillable.
Entry: Place a buy at 2762 (or up to 2780) and a sell at 2935 (or down to 2920); refresh both every 4h.
Exit: Sell fills at the offer; if the buy does not fill within 4h, cancel and re-arm.
Kill switch: A 7d daily close below 2750 (the lower edge of the 21d band) — the spread is a range-bound structural artifact; if the range breaks or a market repricing moves the floor, the flip dies.
From run 457 · F-diamond-dragon-bolts-e-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.4h ago | kill_signal | 2900 | 2836 | 6 | 11.4k | -60.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 13.8h ago | kill_signal | 2900 | 2851 | -9 | 16.3k | -101.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 14.0h ago | kill_signal | 2923 | 2900 | -35 | 11.7k | -176.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 14.3h ago | healthy | 2923 | 2836 | 29 | 19.7k | 0 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 14.5h ago | healthy | 2928 | 2836 | 34 | 26.9k | 13.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 14.9h ago | kill_signal | 2915 | 2864 | -7 | 20.2k | -99.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 15.2h ago | healthy | 2915 | 2819 | 38 | 24.5k | 24.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 15.4h ago | kill_signal | 2830 | 2788 | -14 | 17.5k | -115.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 15.8h ago | healthy | 2929 | 2762 | 109 | 13.8k | 222.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |