F Seeking dragon arrow — 49gp spread on a 4M-units/day range ammo killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: entry_reachable, floor_ok, margin_alive)
Seeking dragon arrow is a top-tier ranged ammo used at high-level ranged content (Zulrah, CoX, ToB, Hydra). Vol24h ~4M is the second-deepest range-ammo market in the game. The 49gp spread is small in % terms (2.2%) but absolute gp is meaningful and the depth of flow means the 11k buy_limit never becomes the binding constraint. Mechanism: ranged ammo is consumed in large quantities, supply comes from a craft-and-sell minority, and the patient-seller ask keeps the spread open even at high volume.
Entry: Place buy offers at 2204gp (the live low).
Exit: Convert to sell offers at 2298gp (the live high).
Kill switch: Post-tax margin below 30gp sustained for 2 daily checks; OR close below 2100.
From run 442 · F-seeking-dragon-arrow-20260801
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.7h ago | kill_signal | 2275 | 2252 | -22 | 99.0k | -123.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.0h ago | kill_signal | 2270 | 2260 | -35 | 117.9k | -159.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.2h ago | kill_signal | 2299 | 2258 | -4 | 98.3k | -74.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.5h ago | healthy | 2299 | 2231 | 23 | 94.5k | 0 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.8h ago | healthy | 2299 | 2232 | 22 | 120.0k | -2750 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.2h ago | kill_signal | 2343 | 2299 | -2 | 102.3k | -68.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.5h ago | healthy | 2320 | 2240 | 34 | 65.6k | 30.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.8h ago | healthy | 2278 | 2210 | 23 | 51.9k | 0 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |