B Osmumten's fang — 191k post-tax margin per unit on a recovering B-tier PvM weapon killed
kill signal sustained over 6 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
Osmumten's fang (item 26219) at ~17.4M has a 191k post-tax spread between a fresh sell leg (17.89M, age 123s) and a fresh buy leg (17.34M, age 315s). The 15-min block-avg spread persists at 200-500k across every single 15-min bucket in the 48h lookback — a wider absolute spread than any other 10M+ lane-B candidate the brief surfaced. Risk: the price drifted -10% from its 19.2M Jul-1 peak to its 16.5M Jul-27 trough; the recovery back to 17.4M is the play. The 191k absolute post-tax margin is the largest single-flip absolute on the entire >=10M lane right now.
Entry: Place 1 buy offer at 17,340,945gp; refresh every 4h; do not exceed 1 offer at a time.
Exit: Place 1 sell offer at 17,890,000gp; accept fills within 24h of buy fill.
Kill switch: Live price <= 16,300,000gp (recovery thesis broken); OR margin live < 100,000gp for 2 consecutive checks; OR sell-side stays empty >48h (the market has repriced away from the spread).
From run 441 · B-osmumtens-fang-20260731
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.1h ago | kill_signal | 17.73M | 17.28M | 97.1k | 32 | -36.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 20.2h ago | kill_signal | 17.66M | 17.21M | 92.5k | 22 | -48.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 21.2h ago | kill_signal | 17.54M | 17.50M | -313.6k | 31 | -45.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 22.3h ago | kill_signal | 17.57M | 17.17M | 44.6k | 58 | -75.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 23.4h ago | kill_signal | 17.62M | 17.18M | 84.4k | 39 | -85.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 24.5h ago | kill_signal | 17.52M | 17.13M | 47.1k | 87 | -122.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 25.6h ago | healthy | 17.72M | 17.24M | 122.6k | 102 | -116.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.7h ago | kill_signal | 17.74M | 17.58M | -200.7k | 110 | -93.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.7h ago | kill_signal | 17.24M | 17.16M | -268.2k | 77 | -593.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 28.8h ago | healthy | 17.85M | 17.27M | 227.1k | 71 | -303.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |