F Searing page patient flip, 144gp spread, 3.7k units/h liquidity killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
Searing page sustains a persistent ~150gp post-tax spread on 100k+ units/day because PvM bookmakers dump at market and Magic-tab buyers (BNN/RuneLite scripts) place patient buys 1-3gp above mid. Neither side crosses aggressively, so a patient flipper collects the spread. The 30d daily close series oscillates 17k-19k with no secular trend; the current live quote (17487/17990, margin 144) sits mid-band. z=2.61 vs the 4h baseline margin (avg -169, sd 120) says the spread is currently positive when it is usually negative. Sizing is capital-constrained: 50M budget / 17,487 buy = 2,860 units, far below the 11,000 GE limit.
Entry: Buy at 17487 or better; place offers 1gp increments
Exit: Sell at 17990 or better; cancel unsold buys if margin drops below 100gp for 2 consecutive 4h checks
Kill switch: Live margin drops below 100gp for 2 consecutive 4h checks, OR daily close drops below 16500 for 2 consecutive days (range-bottom breakdown), OR game update to Magic spell pages. Stop is 17200 (below which the spread inverts).
From run 437 · F-searing-page-20260731
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.3h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 17.5k | 171 | 472 | -707 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 22.7h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 17.5k | 171 | 892 | -1337 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 23.0h ago | kill_signal | 18.0k | 17.5k | 102 | 1224 | -26.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 23.3h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 242 | 1236 | 24.1k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 23.6h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 17.5k | 239 | 263 | 4961 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 23.8h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 17.5k | 239 | 329 | 6205 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 24.2h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 239 | 1196 | 22.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 24.4h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 139 | 1428 | -15.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 24.7h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 281 | 1402 | 43.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 25.0h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 280 | 1584 | 48.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 25.3h ago | healthy | 18.1k | 17.5k | 281 | 1143 | 35.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 25.6h ago | kill_signal | 18.2k | 17.9k | -94 | 1664 | -135.7k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 25.9h ago | kill_signal | 18.2k | 17.7k | 152 | 1028 | -8014 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.2h ago | healthy | 18.2k | 17.7k | 158 | 2431 | -14.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.5h ago | kill_signal | 18.1k | 17.7k | 45 | 4051 | -94.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 26.7h ago | healthy | 18.2k | 17.7k | 179 | 2093 | 627 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.1h ago | kill_signal | 18.3k | 17.7k | 214 | 510 | 5508 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.4h ago | healthy | 18.3k | 17.7k | 232 | 2557 | 38.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 27.7h ago | kill_signal | 18.3k | 18.0k | -50 | 2299 | -157.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 28.1h ago | healthy | 18.4k | 17.6k | 342 | 942 | 46.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 28.3h ago | healthy | 18.4k | 17.6k | 368 | 1570 | 89.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 28.7h ago | kill_signal | 18.0k | 18.4k | -733 | 2902 | -652.1k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 29.0h ago | kill_signal | 18.2k | 17.8k | 46 | 1705 | -67.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 29.3h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 127 | 1732 | -24.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 29.7h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 131 | 1393 | -18.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 29.9h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 141 | 2530 | -24.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 30.2h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 153 | 1885 | -12.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 30.5h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 153 | 1913 | -13.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 30.8h ago | healthy | 18.0k | 17.5k | 144 | 2724 | -22.9k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |