F Onyx bolt tips — patient flip on the 8075–8195 band killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, exit_reachable)
Onyx bolt tips are a stable input for high-end ranged ammo crafting; supply comes from crafting alts and broad-bolt purchases, demand from gem-bolt PvM. Both sides transact in a tight grid; a patient buy at 8085 and a patient sell at 8318 collects a 67gp post-tax spread at full 4h buy-limit because both legs print fresh within minutes on most 5m buckets. The edge persists because the GE-tax + spread nets a small but reliable arb that institutional flippers leave in the bid/ask noise.
Entry: Place buy offer at 8085 (use +0/-1 tick to be best bid; refresh every 4h)
Exit: Place sell offer at 8318 (or accept the next-best 8310+ fill)
Kill switch: Close drops below 7600 (band break) OR sustained margin below 30gp for 2 consecutive daily checks. Per-cycle profit below 200k floor for 3 consecutive cycles.
From run 434 · F-onyx-bolt-tips-20260731
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.3h ago | kill_signal | 8085 | 8085 | -161 | 17.0k | -372.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 31.6h ago | kill_signal | 8118 | 8084 | -128 | 18.7k | -321.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 31.8h ago | kill_signal | 8085 | 8085 | -161 | 17.8k | -372.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |