F Mahogany repair kit patient-flip on Construction commodity killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: exit_reachable, floor_ok, margin_alive)
Mahogany repair kits flow from Forestry mahogany events to Construction contracts at the same margin; patient sellers list at 1140+ for contract buyers, patient buyers floor at ~1050; structural impatience yields a persistent ~46gp post-tax spread per cycle on a 4h buy-limit of 13000 units; 30d daily closes show a gentle uptrend (avg_low 977 to 1082) supporting the sell leg.
Entry: Buy 13000 units at 1081 gp or lower over a 4h window; place patient offers ~10gp above the current low.
Exit: Sell 13000 units at 1149 gp or higher over the next 4h; never accept sells below 1120.
Kill switch: live margin <25gp on two consecutive quote checks; OR daily close falls below 1050; OR a Forestry patch changes mahogany event frequency.
From run 432 · F-mahogany-repair-kit-20260731
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.3h ago | kill_signal | 1094 | 1073 | 0 | 30.9k | -35.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 31.7h ago | kill_signal | 1094 | 1072 | 1 | 31.5k | -32.5k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 32.0h ago | kill_signal | 1162 | 1125 | 14 | 10.9k | 9750 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 32.3h ago | healthy | 1140 | 1088 | 30 | 7302 | 41.6k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 32.7h ago | kill_signal | 1107 | 1088 | -3 | 10.8k | -45.4k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 32.9h ago | healthy | 1162 | 1081 | 58 | 9103 | 128.3k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |