F Cactus spine — patient 71gp spread on range-bound PvM herb killed
kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: entry_reachable, floor_ok, margin_alive)
Cactus spines trade in a stable band 1400–1520 over the past 7d (and 1245–1579 over 30d), with a consistent 50–80gp post-tax spread between impatient PvM cooks (high side) and patient herb flippers (low side). Both legs print within 100s and ~314k units/day supports the 11k buy limit at fillable scale. Higher per-unit margin than Dragon bolts (4.8% vs 2.2%) with slightly more constrained volume; current live print at 1585 is a recent breakout above the 30d close band (1518) so the thesis assumes the breakout holds.
Entry: Place buy offers at 1483 (current 1m-quote low).
Exit: Place sell offers at 1585 (current 1m-quote high).
Kill switch: If post-tax live margin on Cactus spine drops below 30gp for three consecutive evaluations, or if price closes outside 1400–1520 for a full day after the breakout reverts. The current price is above the 30d close band (1518) so the thesis assumes the breakout holds.
From run 429 · F-cactus-spine-20260731
Paper-trade evaluations (newest first, every 5 min)
| at | verdict | high | low | margin | vol 30m | gp/1h now | checks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.2h ago | kill_signal | 1570 | 1540 | -1 | 8116 | -39.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 33.5h ago | kill_signal | 1569 | 1540 | -2 | 12.7k | -46.8k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 33.8h ago | kill_signal | 1573 | 1540 | 2 | 5952 | -23.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 34.1h ago | healthy | 1573 | 1495 | 47 | 14.7k | 88.0k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 34.4h ago | healthy | 1585 | 1496 | 58 | 10.6k | 118.2k | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |
| 34.8h ago | kill_signal | 1585 | 1540 | 14 | 6335 | -1900 | entry_reachableexit_reachablefloor_okkill_price_oklegs_freshmargin_alivevol_ok |