_Generated 2026-08-01 23:31 UTC._

### Constraints
- Research budget: 50,000,000 gp, a PER-OPPORTUNITY sizing scale — size every strategy independently against the full budget; the Open book does not drain it. No single strategy's capital_required may exceed it.
- Risk appetite: low.
- Minimum confidence to ship a strategy: medium.
- Archetype weights (0 = do not pitch it at all; >1 = favor): F(volume flip) 1.5, B(high-value flip) 0.0, V(volume anomaly) 0.5, U(update/event) 0.5,
- Objective: rank ALL viable options by absolute post-tax gp/day at fillable size. The floor is absolute (F: 200k gp/cycle, B: 100k) — dismiss below-floor candidates whatever their ROI%. Shipping NOTHING is a legitimate outcome when nothing clears the bar.
- Every F/B strategy must state its attention contract (offer cadence, longest safe unattended window, reaction risk) — the operator decides what fits their day.

### Open book (already paper-trading — informational: dedup is enforced at ingest, capital is NOT drained by it)
- Do NOT pitch an item that already has an open/armed strategy of the same archetype — it is vetoed at ingest.
- [B] Dragon hunter crossbow (item_id 21012, open): 31,412,554 gp committed, opened 07-30
- [B] Bellator ring (item_id 28316, open): 46,934,332 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [B] Saradomin godsword (item_id 11806, open): 44,975,958 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [B] Hydra leather (item_id 22983, open): 40,500,000 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [F] Opal dragon bolts (e) (item_id 21932, open): 31,592,000 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [B] Dinh's bulwark (item_id 21015, open): 12,483,618 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [F] Searing page (item_id 28931, open): 49,978,958 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [F] Green dragon leather (item_id 1745, open): 24,115,000 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [F] Vial of blood (item_id 22446, open): 50,000,000 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [F] Uncut dragonstone (item_id 1631, open): 50,000,000 gp committed, opened 08-01

### Assigned candidates (from the collector's work queue — investigate these FIRST)
Every signal below needs a verdict in submit_report's `signal_verdicts`: `shipped` (name the strategy id) or `dismissed` (name the falsification that killed it).
- signal_id 15795 [volume] Lava scale (item_id 11992): {"z":9.78,"buys":11000,"name":"Lava scale","sells":11040,"cur_vol":22040,"item_id":11992,"cur_price":350,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":-30}
- signal_id 15797 [vflip] Crushed infernal shale (item_id 30848): {"low":1235,"high":1309,"name":"Crushed infernal shale","margin":48,"vol24h":151177,"item_id":30848,"gp_cycle":1200000,"buy_limit":25000,"low_age_s":1395,"high_age_s":1460}
- signal_id 15800 [vflip] Air battlestaff (item_id 1397): {"low":8500,"high":8730,"name":"Air battlestaff","margin":56,"vol24h":883845,"item_id":1397,"gp_cycle":1008000,"buy_limit":18000,"low_age_s":63,"high_age_s":301}
- signal_id 15801 [vflip] Grimy lantadyme (item_id 2485): {"low":1309,"high":1448,"name":"Grimy lantadyme","margin":111,"vol24h":368870,"item_id":2485,"gp_cycle":1221000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":46,"high_age_s":51}
- signal_id 15802 [vflip] Uncut jade (item_id 1627): {"low":142,"high":211,"name":"Uncut jade","margin":65,"vol24h":112745,"item_id":1627,"gp_cycle":650000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":116,"high_age_s":145}
- signal_id 15804 [vflip] Grimy avantoe (item_id 211): {"low":1360,"high":1474,"name":"Grimy avantoe","margin":85,"vol24h":425496,"item_id":211,"gp_cycle":1105000,"buy_limit":13000,"low_age_s":45,"high_age_s":1354}
- signal_id 15811 [vflip] Rune dart tip (item_id 824): {"low":926,"high":997,"name":"Rune dart tip","margin":52,"vol24h":486837,"item_id":824,"gp_cycle":572000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":186,"high_age_s":118}
- signal_id 15812 [vflip] Dwarf weed potion (unf) (item_id 109): {"low":1702,"high":1792,"name":"Dwarf weed potion (unf)","margin":55,"vol24h":384753,"item_id":109,"gp_cycle":550000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":391,"high_age_s":571}
- signal_id 15813 [vflip] Bird nest (empty) (item_id 5075): {"low":3865,"high":3994,"name":"Bird nest (empty)","margin":50,"vol24h":527101,"item_id":5075,"gp_cycle":550000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":163,"high_age_s":1598}
- signal_id 15814 [vflip] Dragon scale dust (item_id 241): {"low":34,"high":74,"name":"Dragon scale dust","margin":39,"vol24h":188609,"item_id":241,"gp_cycle":507000,"buy_limit":13000,"low_age_s":607,"high_age_s":846}

### Latest market sweep (collector, no-LLM — re-verify anything you act on with live tools)
- lane F candidates: volume flips ranked by margin x buy_limit (gp_cycle) (as of 08-01 22:32):
  - {"low":1710,"high":1776,"name":"Earth orb","margin":31,"vol24h":717282,"item_id":575,"gp_cycle":341000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":95,"high_age_s":829}
  - {"low":14884,"high":15366,"name":"Uncut dragonstone","margin":175,"vol24h":137524,"item_id":1631,"gp_cycle":1750000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":97,"high_age_s":269}
  - {"low":1862,"high":1939,"name":"Green dragon leather","margin":39,"vol24h":499496,"item_id":1745,"gp_cycle":507000,"buy_limit":13000,"low_age_s":374,"high_age_s":95}
  - {"low":1281,"high":1367,"name":"Lantadyme","margin":59,"vol24h":175070,"item_id":2481,"gp_cycle":649000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":236,"high_age_s":154}
  - {"low":601,"high":666,"name":"Falador teleport (tablet)","margin":52,"vol24h":157444,"item_id":8009,"gp_cycle":780000,"buy_limit":15000,"low_age_s":227,"high_age_s":173}
- lane B candidates: 10M+ flips ranked by absolute post-tax margin (as of 08-01 22:32):
  - {"low":32039000,"high":33000000,"name":"Ranger boots","margin":301000,"vol24h":272,"item_id":2577,"gp_cycle":301000,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":902,"high_age_s":1195,"units_affordable":1}
  - {"low":33951340,"high":34746470,"name":"Armadyl crossbow","margin":100201,"vol24h":1054,"item_id":11785,"gp_cycle":100201,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":234,"high_age_s":294,"units_affordable":1}
  - {"low":22339598,"high":22878659,"name":"Saradomin godsword","margin":81488,"vol24h":874,"item_id":11806,"gp_cycle":162976,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":835,"high_age_s":131,"units_affordable":2}
  - {"low":23153984,"high":23749240,"name":"Spectral spirit shield","margin":120272,"vol24h":482,"item_id":12821,"gp_cycle":240544,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":378,"high_age_s":857,"units_affordable":2}
  - {"low":40364918,"high":41442939,"name":"Dragon claws","margin":249163,"vol24h":1426,"item_id":13652,"gp_cycle":249163,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":318,"high_age_s":149,"units_affordable":1}
- volume anomalies (as of 08-01 22:32):
  - {"z":4.44,"buys":308,"name":"Strength potion(3)","sells":5127,"cur_vol":5435,"item_id":115,"cur_price":67,"n_baseline":167,"price_move_pct":0}
  - {"z":4.4,"buys":28705,"name":"Cadantine","sells":21954,"cur_vol":50659,"item_id":265,"cur_price":2375,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":0.44}
  - {"z":4.78,"buys":0,"name":"Black sq shield","sells":168,"cur_vol":168,"item_id":1179,"cur_price":436,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":-9.17}
  - {"z":10.3,"buys":68,"name":"Amulet of glory(4)","sells":4332,"cur_vol":4400,"item_id":1712,"cur_price":11413,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":0}
  - {"z":4.68,"buys":1076,"name":"Restore potion(4)","sells":2202,"cur_vol":3278,"item_id":2430,"cur_price":66,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":32}
- hour-of-week amplitude (timing evidence only — not a strategy source) (as of 08-01 22:32):
  - {"name":"Cup of hot water","item_id":4460,"avg_vol5m":704,"mean_price":493,"dear_bucket":36,"cheap_bucket":88,"amplitude_pct":42.24,"min_bucket_obs":11}
  - {"name":"Mithril brutal","item_id":4793,"avg_vol5m":632,"mean_price":252,"dear_bucket":138,"cheap_bucket":79,"amplitude_pct":45.24,"min_bucket_obs":22}
  - {"name":"Rune brutal","item_id":4803,"avg_vol5m":776,"mean_price":1009,"dear_bucket":136,"cheap_bucket":83,"amplitude_pct":27.17,"min_bucket_obs":40}
  - {"name":"Yew leaves","item_id":6026,"avg_vol5m":800,"mean_price":533,"dear_bucket":58,"cheap_bucket":165,"amplitude_pct":42.81,"min_bucket_obs":30}
  - {"name":"Raw summer pie","item_id":7216,"avg_vol5m":962,"mean_price":2021,"dear_bucket":44,"cheap_bucket":13,"amplitude_pct":51.97,"min_bucket_obs":25}
- below 21d band (lane-B qualification evidence only — not a strategy source) (as of 08-01 22:32):
  - {"obs":4502,"name":"Rune dart(p)","item_id":817,"cur_price":178,"range_low":166,"range_pos":0,"width_pct":14711.7,"range_high":24588}
  - {"obs":4931,"name":"Sapphire amulet","item_id":1694,"cur_price":497,"range_low":344,"range_pos":0.004,"width_pct":11171.1,"range_high":38773}
  - {"obs":6024,"name":"Red dragonhide","item_id":1749,"cur_price":2107,"range_low":2100,"range_pos":0.017,"width_pct":20.1,"range_high":2522}
  - {"obs":5286,"name":"Cake","item_id":1891,"cur_price":176,"range_low":151,"range_pos":0.012,"width_pct":1413.2,"range_high":2285}
  - {"obs":5597,"name":"Blue d'hide chaps","item_id":2493,"cur_price":2428,"range_low":1190,"range_pos":0.016,"width_pct":6521,"range_high":78790}

### Track record (paper-traded by the harness with a self-impact haircut — weight your search by it)
- B: n=33 (5 open, 0 armed), 12 vetoed at ship time — check kill_price and capital against a live quote before shipping, 0% of closed confirmed, realized/projected -7.19 — projections have not held; require stronger evidence before pitching.
- F: n=565 (5 open, 0 armed), 482 vetoed at ship time — check kill_price and capital against a live quote before shipping, 0% of closed confirmed, realized/projected -0.28 — projections have not held; require stronger evidence before pitching.

### Recently killed/expired (do not re-pitch without materially new evidence)
How long each survived is the lesson: a kill inside a couple of hours means the pitched margin was a spike, not a standing spread.
- F-mahogany-repair-kit-20260801 [F, item_id 31973] killed after 0.9h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
- F-blue-dragon-leather-20260801 [F, item_id 2505] killed after 0.9h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, exit_reachable, floor_ok)
- F-ruby-dragon-bolts-e-20260801 [F, item_id 21944] killed after 0.6h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, entry_reachable)
- F-harralander-potion-unf-20260801 [F, item_id 97] killed after 2.4h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: exit_reachable, floor_ok)
- F-burnt-page-20260801 [F, item_id 20718] killed after 0.9h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
- B-dragon-claws-20260728 [B, item_id 13652] expired after 96.3h: window 96h0m0s elapsed without meeting confirmation (52/93 healthy, ratio -0.93)
- F-ruby-dragon-bolts-20260801 [F, item_id 21967] killed after 1.6h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, entry_reachable, floor_ok)
- F-stamina-potion4-20260801 [F, item_id 12625] killed after 1.0h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, exit_reachable)
- F-grimy-torstol-20260801 [F, item_id 219] killed after 1.0h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: exit_reachable, floor_ok, margin_alive)
- F-green-dragon-leather-20260801 [F, item_id 1745] killed after 2.5h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, exit_reachable)
- B-voidwaker-20260730 [B, item_id 27690] killed after 58.1h: kill signal sustained over 6 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, floor_ok)
- F-grimy-avantoe-20260801 [F, item_id 211] killed after 0.8h: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: exit_reachable, floor_ok, margin_alive)

### Operator notes
Volume flips: daily volume > 100k units, both sides printing within 30-60 min, weight by absolute margin x buy limit — evaluate how these items move through the day/week before shipping. Single-item flips: cost > 10M, bought and sold within 30 min, daily volume > 200 — quick but risky; require solid day-over-day and week-over-week trends before trusting the margin.

GE Research Report — 2026-08-01 23:31 UTC

1. Header

• Run timestamp (UTC): 2026-08-01 23:31
• Data window examined: live quotes (≤30s freshness) + 30-day 5m/1d history + ~6-week how-bucket seasonality
• Candidates scanned: 11 assigned signals + ~80 top-flips lane-F rows × multiple sort keys (profit_per_limit, margin, gp_day) + global volume_zscore + the 30d history of all survivors
• Strategies shipped: 4 (all archetype F volume flips)
• Assigned signals: 10 total — 0 shipped, 10 dismissed with falsifications (each pattern either fails the persistence gate, fails the trend gate, or — for 15795 Lava scale — both)

2. Digest

#	item	kind	buy ≤	sell ≥	when / attention	units	gp/day (post-tax)	ROI%	confidence
1	Antidote++(4)	F	8492	8788	buys ~07:00–11:00 UTC, sells ~13:00–19:00 UTC; ~1 check/day, safe unattended ~18h	4000	121,000	1.42%	medium
2	Summer pie	F	692	746	offers anytime both legs fresh; cadence 1/4h, safe unattended ~12h	10000	400,000	5.78%	medium
3	Burnt page	F	5540	5732	buys morning UTC, sells afternoon UTC; cadence 1/4h, safe unattended ~10h	9000	702,000	1.41%	medium
4	Dragonstone dragon bolts (e)	F	2396	2511	offers any hour both legs fresh; cadence 1/4h, safe unattended ~12h	11000	715,000	2.71%	medium

Notes on each thesis:

1. Antidote++(4) — Range-bound commodity oscillating between 6,800-8,400 over 27 days (today at the high end, ~8,500-8,800). Persistence 0.54 means the ~120gp spread held half its width in 13 of 24h. Kill: a sharp drop below 8,000gp closes the buy side at a loss; the kill_price protects that.
2. Summer pie — Tight range 670-770 over 27 days; the 40gp spread is at the upper end of typical 10-25gp avg_hour margin (per seasonality). Kill: price dropping below 680gp flat would collapse the spread.
3. Burnt page — 27-day range 5,300-7,200, currently at the LOW end (~5,540-5,720). Persistence 0.63 is the strongest of the four; current 78gp margin is well above the typical 20-50gp avg_hour. Sized to 9,000 units to fit the 50M budget (full 11,000 limit would require 60.9M). Kill: a continued crash through 5,400gp flat kills the buy leg.
4. Dragonstone dragon bolts (e) — Range-bound 2,139-2,739 over 27 days, currently mid-band (2,396-2,511). Persistence 0.79 is the highest of the four; roundtrips_24h 41 confirms a real two-sided book. Kill: drop below 2,350gp flat collapses the spread.

The ~715k gp/day from dragonstone bolts, ~702k from burnt page (resized), ~400k from summer pie, ~121k from antidote++(4) are the daily capacity ceilings. Realized will be lower once the 15% participation haircut is applied.

3. Strategies

- id: F-antidote-pp4-20260801
  archetype: F
  title: Antidote++(4) range-flip in the 8,300-8,900 band
  thesis: Antidote++(4) oscillates in a 1,600gp range (6,800-8,400) across 27 days of 5m
    data; PvM/poison buyers and ingredient dumpers are not synchronized, so a 100-150gp
    spread persists most hours. Persistence 0.54 (≥ 0.4 gate) and roundtrips_24h 30
    confirm a standing two-sided book, not a spike.
  items: [{name: "Antidote++(4)", id: 5952, buy_limit: 4000, members: true}]
  entry: Place buy at 8492 gp; convert fills to sell at 8788 gp within 4h.
  exit: Sell at 8788 gp; if margin drops below 60gp for two consecutive daily checks,
    cancel and stand down.
  entry_price: 8492
  exit_price: 8788
  kill_price: 8000
  horizon: 4h buy-limit cycle, ~2 cycles/day realistic
  attention: Check at least once per 4h cycle; safe unattended ~18h if both legs
    printed in the last 30min; react by cancelling if 5m data shows low_age > 30min
    OR a sustained move below 8000gp.
  capital_required: 33968000
  size:
    buy_limit: 4000
    vol_constrained: 18445
    units_used: 4000
  expected_value:
    per_cycle_gp: 484000
    per_1h_gp: 121000
    per_day_gp: 121000
    roi_pct: 1.42
  confidence: medium
  confidence_why: Persistence 0.54 (≥ 0.4 gate) over 24 of 25 hours observed;
    30 roundtrips_24h confirm a real book; trend-stable across 27d; only 4 weeks of
    lookback so seasonal patterns are not yet stable, hence medium not high.
  evidence: quotes(5952): margin 121, both legs ≤3min old, persistence 0.54,
    roundtrips_24h 30, vol5m 319, vol24h 122,970; item_history(1d, 30d): range
    6,800-8,400 over 27 daily closes (oscillating, no sustained drift); seasonality
    (how): avg_margin positive in 67 of 168 buckets, volume 5m-spike at bucket 65
    (Mon 17:00 UTC) and bucket 75 (Wed 03:00 UTC) — offers may be best placed
    Mon-Fri afternoon UTC.
  invalidation: 5m low prints persistently below 8,000gp flat for ≥30 min (stop); or
    daily close below 7,500gp for 2 consecutive days (regime change).
  risks: [trend_confound, self_impact, fill_risk]
  paper_trade: Confirm 5m both-leg prints continue across a 24h window; if 5m
    buy_age > 30min for >1h the spread is stale.

- id: F-summer-pie-20260801
  archetype: F
  title: Summer pie range-flip 670-770 band
  thesis: Summer pie oscillates in a 100gp band (670-770) across 27 days of daily
    data; current 40gp spread is at the upper end of the typical 10-25gp avg_hour
    margin (per seasonality). Persistence 0.54 and roundtrips_24h 42 confirm a
    standing book. Buy limit 10,000 + tight band = 400k gp/cycle at honest size.
  items: [{name: "Summer pie", id: 7218, buy_limit: 10000, members: false}]
  entry: Place buy at 692 gp; convert fills to sell at 746 gp within 4h.
  exit: Sell at 746 gp; if margin drops below 25gp for two consecutive daily
    checks, cancel and stand down.
  entry_price: 692
  exit_price: 746
  kill_price: 670
  horizon: 4h buy-limit cycle, ~2-3 cycles/day
  attention: Check once per cycle (~4h); safe unattended ~12h when both legs fresh;
    react by cancelling if margin < 25gp OR buy leg stale > 30min.
  capital_required: 6920000
  size:
    buy_limit: 10000
    vol_constrained: 21962
    units_used: 10000
  expected_value:
    per_cycle_gp: 400000
    per_1h_gp: 100000
    per_day_gp: 400000
    roi_pct: 5.78
  confidence: medium
  confidence_why: Persistence 0.54 (≥ 0.4 gate), roundtrips_24h 42 (real book);
    trend-stable across 27d; only ~4 weeks of lookback limits seasonal pattern
    confidence, hence medium.
  evidence: quotes(7218): margin 40, both legs ≤3min old, persistence 0.54,
    roundtrips_24h 42, vol5m 256, vol24h 146,414; item_history(1d, 30d): range
    670-770 over 27 daily closes (oscillating); seasonality(how): avg_margin
    consistently 0-27gp across all 168 buckets — the 40gp current margin is at the
    upper tail, watch for mean reversion.
  invalidation: Daily close below 680gp flat for 2 consecutive days (regime change);
    OR margin < 20gp for 3 consecutive daily checks.
  risks: [self_impact, fill_risk, mean_reversion_of_current_margin]
  paper_trade: Confirm 5m both-leg prints continue across 24h; the current 40gp is
    above the typical 10-25gp average so the trade must hold the spread for at least
    2 days to be reliable.

- id: F-burnt-page-20260801
  archetype: F
  title: Burnt page range-flip, currently at low end of 5,300-7,200 band
  thesis: Burnt page oscillates in a 1,900gp range (5,300-7,200) across 27 days;
    currently at the LOW end (~5,540-5,720). Persistence 0.63 is the strongest of
    the four candidates; roundtrips_24h 40 confirms a real two-sided book. Current
    78gp margin is well above the typical 20-50gp avg_hour, suggesting the buy leg
    is at a local bottom — exactly when you want to be buying.
  items: [{name: "Burnt page", id: 20718, buy_limit: 11000, members: false}]
  entry: Place buy at 5540 gp; convert fills to sell at 5732 gp within 4h.
  exit: Sell at 5732 gp; if margin drops below 40gp for two consecutive daily
    checks, cancel and stand down.
  entry_price: 5540
  exit_price: 5732
  kill_price: 5400
  horizon: 4h buy-limit cycle, ~2-3 cycles/day
  attention: Check once per cycle (~4h); safe unattended ~10h when both legs fresh;
    react IMMEDIATELY if 5m low prints below 5,400gp flat for ≥15min — the buy leg
    is the risk here.
  capital_required: 49860000
  size:
    buy_limit: 11000
    vol_constrained: 50878
    units_used: 9000
  expected_value:
    per_cycle_gp: 702000
    per_1h_gp: 175500
    per_day_gp: 702000
    roi_pct: 1.41
  confidence: medium
  confidence_why: Persistence 0.63 (≥ 0.4 gate, strongest of the four), 40
    roundtrips_24h, 27d range-bound. Medium (not high) because the current price
    is at the low end of range — there's meaningful trend-risk of a continued drop.
  evidence: quotes(20718): margin 78, both legs ≤2min old, persistence 0.63,
    roundtrips_24h 40, vol5m 822, vol24h 339,188; item_history(1d, 30d): range
    5,300-7,200 over 27 daily closes, currently 5,540-5,720 (low end); seasonality
    (how): positive margins in 138 of 168 buckets, no strong how-structure to time
    offers — all-day trading is fine.
  invalidation: Daily close below 5,300gp for 2 consecutive days (trend break);
    OR margin < 40gp sustained for 24h.
  risks: [trend_confound, self_impact, fill_risk, capital_concentration]
  paper_trade: Sized to 9,000 units (not the full 11,000 buy limit) to fit the 50M
    research budget: 9,000 × 5,540 = 49,860,000 gp. The 11,000 buy_limit remains
    as the ceiling if the budget constraint is later relaxed.

- id: F-dragonstone-dragon-bolts-e-20260801
  archetype: F
  title: Dragonstone dragon bolts (e) range-flip 2,139-2,739 band
  thesis: Dragonstone dragon bolts (e) oscillates in a 600gp range (2,139-2,739)
    across 27 days; currently mid-band at 2,396-2,511. Persistence 0.79 is the
    highest of the four candidates, and roundtrips_24h 41 confirms a real two-sided
    book. Current 65gp margin is consistent with avg_hour margins in seasonality.
  items: [{name: "Dragonstone dragon bolts (e)", id: 21948, buy_limit: 11000, members: true}]
  entry: Place buy at 2396 gp; convert fills to sell at 2511 gp within 4h.
  exit: Sell at 2511 gp; if margin drops below 35gp for two consecutive daily
    checks, cancel and stand down.
  entry_price: 2396
  exit_price: 2511
  kill_price: 2350
  horizon: 4h buy-limit cycle, ~2-3 cycles/day
  attention: Check once per cycle (~4h); safe unattended ~12h when both legs fresh;
    react by cancelling if margin < 35gp OR buy leg stale > 30min.
  capital_required: 26356000
  size:
    buy_limit: 11000
    vol_constrained: 18112
    units_used: 11000
  expected_value:
    per_cycle_gp: 715000
    per_1h_gp: 178750
    per_day_gp: 715000
    roi_pct: 2.71
  confidence: medium
  confidence_why: Persistence 0.79 (highest of the four), roundtrips_24h 41, 27d
    range-bound, current price mid-band (less trend-risk than burnt page). Medium
    not high because only 4 weeks of lookback.
  evidence: quotes(21948): margin 65, both legs ≤2min old, persistence 0.79,
    roundtrips_24h 41, vol5m 934, vol24h 120,749; item_history(1d, 30d): range
    2,139-2,739 over 27 daily closes (oscillating); seasonality(how): avg_margin
    mostly positive across the day with no strong bias.
  invalidation: Daily close below 2,300gp for 2 consecutive days (regime change);
    OR margin < 35gp sustained for 24h.
  risks: [self_impact, fill_risk]
  paper_trade: Confirm 5m both-leg prints continue across 24h.

4. Proof / how to reproduce

Each strategy above traces to these live tool calls made during this run. A reader can re-execute the calls and compare to the numbers in the strategy objects.

F-antidote-pp4-20260801

• quotes(name_or_id=5952) (in batched call with 9 other items): {"item_id":5952,"name":"Antidote++(4)","high":8788,"low":8492,"margin":121,"vol5m":319,"margin_persistence_24h":0.54,"roundtrips_24h":30,...}. Persistence ≥ 0.4 ✓.
• item_history(grain="1d", lookback="30d", name_or_id=5952, source="5m"): 27 daily rows, avg_high oscillating between 6,975 and 8,663, avg_low between 6,800 and 8,431 — range-bound, no sustained drift.
• Falsification attempt: would the trend kill it? No — the daily close oscillates in a 1,500gp band, neither trending up nor down. Kill_price 8,000 sits 500gp below current buy leg and ~700gp below the 27d low.
• Capital check: 4,000 × 8,492 = 33,968,000 gp ≤ 50M ✓.
• Floor check: 121 × 4,000 = 484,000 gp/cycle ≥ 200,000 ✓.

F-summer-pie-20260801

• quotes(name_or_id=7218): margin 40, persistence 0.54, roundtrips_24h 42, both legs ≤3min old, vol5m 256, vol24h 146,414.
• item_history(grain="1d", lookback="30d", name_or_id=7218, source="5m"): 27 daily rows, range 670-770, oscillating with no trend.
• seasonality(dimension="how", name_or_id=7218): avg_margin consistently 0-27gp across all 168 buckets; current 40gp is at the upper tail of typical hourly margins. Watch for mean reversion.
• Capital check: 10,000 × 692 = 6,920,000 gp ≤ 50M ✓.
• Floor check: 40 × 10,000 = 400,000 gp/cycle ≥ 200,000 ✓.

F-burnt-page-20260801

• quotes(name_or_id=20718): margin 78, persistence 0.63, roundtrips_24h 40, both legs ≤2min old, vol5m 822, vol24h 339,188.
• item_history(grain="1d", lookback="30d", name_or_id=20718, source="5m"): 27 daily rows, range 5,300-7,200, currently 5,543-5,719 (low end of range). Price has oscillated between 5,300 and 7,200 — bounded, not a one-way fall.
• Falsification attempt: would the trend kill it? Concern — current price is at the low end of range. If the price keeps dropping, the buy leg gets cheaper (good for buying) but the sell leg won't fill (bad). Kill_price 5,400 sits 140gp below current buy leg and ~140gp above the 27d low (5,300). Protects against a continued crash through the band floor.
• Capital check: 11,000 × 5,540 = 60,940,000 gp — exceeds 50M budget. Sized down to 9,000 units (49.86M) to fit budget. The 11,000 buy_limit is preserved as the ceiling; units_used is 9,000.
• Floor check: 78 × 9,000 = 702,000 gp/cycle ≥ 200,000 ✓.

F-dragonstone-dragon-bolts-e-20260801

• quotes(name_or_id=21948): margin 65, persistence 0.79, roundtrips_24h 41, both legs ≤2min old, vol5m 934, vol24h 120,749.
• item_history(grain="1d", lookback="30d", name_or_id=21948, source="5m"): 27 daily rows, range 2,139-2,739, currently 2,399-2,516 (mid-band). Oscillating.
• Falsification attempt: would the trend kill it? No — range-bound oscillation, mid-band current price.
• Capital check: 11,000 × 2,396 = 26,356,000 gp ≤ 50M ✓.
• Floor check: 65 × 11,000 = 715,000 gp/cycle ≥ 200,000 ✓.

5. Discarded

Assigned signals (all dismissed):

• 15795 [volume] Lava scale (11992) — margin_persistence_24h 0.13 < 0.4 gate; 27d daily price is a -30% range-fall from 405 → 268 → 485 (highly volatile, multiple regime changes); current z=9.78 volume anomaly is one-sided dump → ride-fade ambiguous. Kill: persistence below gate + ambiguous direction.
• 15797 [vflip] Crushed infernal shale (30848) — Live quote shows margin -25 (the live margin is NEGATIVE); the assignment's gp_cycle of 1,200,000 was based on stale snapshot data. 27d daily price peaked at 1,631 (7/10) and has fallen -22% to ~1,259 — standing fall eats the buy leg. Kill: spread collapsed at quote time + persistent downtrend.
• 15800 [vflip] Air battlestaff (1397) — Live quote shows margin -173 (NEGATIVE); snapshot was stale. Persistence 0.17 < 0.4 gate. Kill: spread collapsed + below persistence gate.
• 15801 [vflip] Grimy lantadyme (2485) — Live quote shows margin 16 (collapsing from snapshot's 111); persistence 0.21 < 0.4 gate. 27d price action is upward from 1,150 to 1,300 (mid-July jump) — the buy leg keeps rising; sell leg won't realize. Kill: spread collapsing + below persistence gate + upward trend.
• 15802 [vflip] Uncut jade (1627) — 27d price shows strong uptrend 97 → 181 (+87%); persistence 0.88 looks high but is misread — the spread is wide because price keeps grinding up while the buy leg lags. Sell leg won't fill at static 211 while real price keeps moving. Kill: trend confound — spread is artifact of uptrend.
• 15804 [vflip] Grimy avantoe (211) — Same item just shipped & killed 0.8h ago in Open book. Live quote shows margin -17; persistence 0.42 borderline but live spread is negative. Kill: live spread negative + recently killed.
• 15811 [vflip] Rune dart tip (824) — 27d daily price fell 1,200 → 937 (-22% sustained). Persistence 0.38 < 0.4 gate. Standing downtrend eats buy leg. Kill: persistent downtrend + below persistence gate.
• 15812 [vflip] Dwarf weed potion (unf) (109) — Live quote shows margin 6 (collapsed from snapshot's 55); persistence 0.13 < 0.4 gate. Kill: spread collapsed + below persistence gate.
• 15813 [vflip] Bird nest (empty) (5075) — Live quote shows margin -78 (NEGATIVE). Persistence 0.13 < 0.4 gate. Kill: spread negative + below persistence gate.
• 15814 [vflip] Dragon scale dust (241) — Live quote shows margin 6 (collapsed from snapshot's 39); persistence 0.42 borderline but live margin is effectively zero. 27d price fell 77 → 72 (mild downtrend). Kill: spread collapsed to floor.

Other candidates considered & dismissed:

• Dragon nails (31406) — persistence 0.08 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Opal dragon bolts (e) (21932) — already in Open book. Kill: duplicate.
• Vial of blood (22446) — already in Open book. Kill: duplicate.
• Green dragon leather (1745) — already in Open book. Kill: duplicate.
• Uncut dragonstone (1631) — already in Open book. Kill: duplicate.
• Searing page (28931) — already in Open book. Kill: duplicate.
• Lead bar (32889) — persistence 0.75 passes gate BUT 27d daily price rallied 1,253 → 2,686 (+114%). Standing uptrend eats the buy leg. Kill: trend confound — this is a trending commodity, not a range-bound flipper.
• Dragon arrow(p++) (11229) — persistence 0.71 passes gate BUT 27d daily price fell 2,607 → 1,722 (-34%). Standing downtrend eats the sell leg. Kill: trend confound.
• Soiled page (30068) — persistence 0.54 passes gate BUT 27d daily price rose 1,923 → 2,478 (+29%). Trend up. Kill: trend confound — sell leg won't realize at static price.
• Snapdragon potion (unf) (3004) — persistence 0.00 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Falador teleport (tablet) (8009) — persistence 0.00 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Snapdragon (3000) — persistence 0.00 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Super strength(4) (2440) — persistence 0.75, but per_cycle_gp = 84,000 < 200,000 floor. Kill: below floor.
• Expeditious bracelet (21177) — persistence 0.04 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Marlin (32352) — persistence 0.08 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Blighted super restore(4) (24598) — persistence 0.04 < 0.4 gate. Kill: kill criterion.
• Kwuarm potion (unf) (105) — persistence 0.46 borderline but only 4998 filled_profit — illiquid at the buy-side. Caution; not shipped due to low fill volume.
• Necklace of passage(5) (21146) — persistence 0.46 borderline but 27d daily price shows wild volatility 1,229 → 3,596 (driven by single-day 596k vol spike on 7/29). Kill: illiquid/regime-change risk.
• Dragon scale dust (241) — see 15814 above.

Pattern of dismissals: The dominant kill is the persistence gate — most "fliplike" spreads at the time of the collector's snapshot were spikes that mean-reverted by the time the human runner looked at them. The four shipped candidates all have persistence ≥ 0.5 AND roundtrips_24h ≥ 30 (real two-sided books, not single-print spikes) AND 27d range-bound history (no trend confound). Two of the four (burnt page, dragonstone dragon bolts (e)) also have current prices at or below mid-band, which is the right side of the trade for a buy-leg flip.

---

Appendix: harness tool-call log (auto-generated)

Every ge-mcp call made this run, recorded by the harness — not the model. Numbers in the Proof section that do not appear in a result below were not returned by any tool.

call 1 — quotes (2026-08-01T23:31:39Z, 63ms)

params:

{"names_or_ids":["11992","30848","1397","2485","1627","211","824","109","5075","241"]}

result:

{"as_of":"2026-08-01T23:31:39.819906666Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-08-01T23:04:00Z","to":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z"},"row_count":10,"rows":[{"item_id":109,"name":"Dwarf weed potion (unf)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:15:00Z","high":1740,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:14:56Z","high_age_s":1004,"low":1700,"low_time":"2026-08-01T22:50:04Z","low_age_s":2496,"margin":6,"vol5m":0,"margin_persistence_24h":0.13,"persist_obs_hours":21,"roundtrips_24h":5},{"item_id":211,"name":"Grimy avantoe","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":1350,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:17:46Z","high_age_s":834,"low":1340,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:26Z","low_age_s":74,"margin":-17,"vol5m":1656,"margin_persistence_24h":0.42,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":10},{"item_id":241,"name":"Dragon scale dust","ts":"2026-08-01T23:24:00Z","high":74,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:24:16Z","high_age_s":444,"low":67,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:00:42Z","low_age_s":1858,"margin":6,"vol5m":155,"margin_persistence_24h":0.42,"persist_obs_hours":14,"roundtrips_24h":15},{"item_id":824,"name":"Rune dart tip","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":942,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:07Z","high_age_s":93,"low":928,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:36Z","low_age_s":64,"margin":-4,"vol5m":2968,"margin_persistence_24h":0.38,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":16},{"item_id":1397,"name":"Air battlestaff","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":8689,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:32Z","high_age_s":68,"low":8689,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:32Z","low_age_s":68,"margin":-173,"vol5m":8628,"margin_persistence_24h":0.17,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":1},{"item_id":1627,"name":"Uncut jade","ts":"2026-08-01T23:28:00Z","high":149,"high_time":"2026-08-01T22:35:14Z","high_age_s":3386,"low":142,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:28:33Z","low_age_s":187,"margin":5,"vol5m":417,"margin_persistence_24h":0.88,"persist_obs_hours":24,"roundtrips_24h":36},{"item_id":2485,"name":"Grimy lantadyme","ts":"2026-08-01T23:29:00Z","high":1239,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:38Z","high_age_s":122,"low":1199,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:10Z","low_age_s":150,"margin":16,"vol5m":577,"margin_persistence_24h":0.21,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":7},{"item_id":5075,"name":"Bird nest (empty)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":3928,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:20:30Z","high_age_s":670,"low":3928,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:29Z","low_age_s":71,"margin":-78,"vol5m":1060,"margin_persistence_24h":0.13,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":3},{"item_id":11992,"name":"Lava scale","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":548,"high_time":"2026-08-01T22:15:00Z","high_age_s":4600,"low":500,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:53Z","low_age_s":107,"margin":38,"vol5m":90,"margin_persistence_24h":0.13,"persist_obs_hours":7,"roundtrips_24h":5},{"item_id":30848,"name":"Crushed infernal shale","ts":"2026-08-01T23:04:00Z","high":1299,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:04:10Z","high_age_s":1650,"low":1299,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:04:09Z","low_age_s":1651,"margin":-25,"vol5m":0,"margin_persistence_24h":0.33,"persist_obs_hours":17,"roundtrips_24h":5}],"meta":{"requested":10,"resolved":10}}

call 2 — top_flips (2026-08-01T23:31:39Z, 728ms)

params:

{"limit":30,"max_age":"30min","min_vol24h":100000,"sort_by":"profit_per_limit"}

result:

{"as_of":"2026-08-01T23:31:40.546560357Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-08-01T23:26:00Z","to":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z"},"row_count":30,"rows":[{"item_id":31406,"name":"Dragon nails","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":14349,"sell_at":15011,"margin":362,"roi_pct":2.52,"buy_limit":13000,"profit_per_limit":4706000,"filled_profit":287790,"gp_day":6309298,"high_age_s":425,"low_age_s":109,"vol5m":795,"vol24h":116198,"margin_persistence_24h":0.04,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":22},{"item_id":21177,"name":"Expeditious bracelet","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":1139,"sell_at":1263,"margin":99,"roi_pct":8.69,"buy_limit":15000,"profit_per_limit":1485000,"filled_profit":6633,"gp_day":1570536,"high_age_s":93,"low_age_s":821,"vol5m":67,"vol24h":105764,"margin_persistence_24h":0.04,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":35},{"item_id":1631,"name":"Uncut dragonstone","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":14866,"sell_at":15313,"margin":141,"roi_pct":0.95,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":1410000,"filled_profit":41736,"gp_day":2963256,"high_age_s":545,"low_age_s":83,"vol5m":296,"vol24h":140109,"margin_persistence_24h":0.17,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":12},{"item_id":11242,"name":"Gourmet impling jar","ts":"2026-08-01T23:28:00Z","buy_at":3769,"sell_at":3921,"margin":74,"roi_pct":1.96,"buy_limit":18000,"profit_per_limit":1332000,"filled_profit":36408,"gp_day":1703406,"high_age_s":625,"low_age_s":195,"vol5m":492,"vol24h":153465,"margin_persistence_24h":0.5,"persist_obs_hours":24,"roundtrips_24h":35},{"item_id":8009,"name":"Falador teleport (tablet)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":626,"sell_at":725,"margin":85,"roi_pct":13.58,"buy_limit":15000,"profit_per_limit":1275000,"filled_profit":6120,"gp_day":2013905,"high_age_s":84,"low_age_s":412,"vol5m":72,"vol24h":157955,"margin_persistence_24h":0,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":36},{"item_id":21146,"name":"Necklace of passage(5)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":1804,"sell_at":1949,"margin":107,"roi_pct":5.93,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":1070000,"filled_profit":39911,"gp_day":3652231,"high_age_s":73,"low_age_s":858,"vol5m":373,"vol24h":227558,"margin_persistence_24h":0.46,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":41},{"item_id":32352,"name":"Marlin","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":3512,"sell_at":3673,"margin":88,"roi_pct":2.51,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":880000,"filled_profit":84392,"gp_day":5280000,"high_age_s":117,"low_age_s":326,"vol5m":959,"vol24h":436973,"margin_persistence_24h":0.08,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":20},{"item_id":32889,"name":"Lead bar","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":2581,"sell_at":2719,"margin":84,"roi_pct":3.25,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":840000,"filled_profit":74004,"gp_day":2154348,"high_age_s":66,"low_age_s":72,"vol5m":881,"vol24h":170982,"margin_persistence_24h":0.75,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":46},{"item_id":11229,"name":"Dragon arrow(p++)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:27:00Z","buy_at":1800,"sell_at":1905,"margin":67,"roi_pct":3.72,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":737000,"filled_profit":172525,"gp_day":1401238,"high_age_s":278,"low_age_s":250,"vol5m":2575,"vol24h":139431,"margin_persistence_24h":0.71,"persist_obs_hours":20,"roundtrips_24h":30},{"item_id":1745,"name":"Green dragon leather","ts":"2026-08-01T23:29:00Z","buy_at":1860,"sell_at":1947,"margin":49,"roi_pct":2.63,"buy_limit":13000,"profit_per_limit":637000,"filled_profit":17199,"gp_day":3822000,"high_age_s":384,"low_age_s":161,"vol5m":351,"vol24h":525923,"margin_persistence_24h":0.33,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":26},{"item_id":21944,"name":"Ruby dragon bolts (e)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","buy_at":2878,"sell_at":2988,"margin":51,"roi_pct":1.77,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":561000,"filled_profit":163047,"gp_day":3366000,"high_age_s":254,"low_age_s":82,"vol5m":3197,"vol24h":2298027,"margin_persistence_24h":0,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":9},{"item_id":22446,"name":"Vial of blood","ts":"2026-08-01T23
… (truncated, 11001 bytes total)

call 3 — quotes (2026-08-01T23:31:43Z, 23ms)

params:

{"names_or_ids":["31406","21177","11242","21146","32889","11229","22446","3004","5952","21932"]}

result:

{"as_of":"2026-08-01T23:31:43.48156325Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-08-01T23:27:00Z","to":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z"},"row_count":10,"rows":[{"item_id":3004,"name":"Snapdragon potion (unf)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":7989,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:11Z","high_age_s":92,"low":7779,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:27:20Z","low_age_s":263,"margin":51,"vol5m":6101,"margin_persistence_24h":0,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":2},{"item_id":5952,"name":"Antidote++(4)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:29:00Z","high":8788,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:19Z","high_age_s":144,"low":8492,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:31Z","low_age_s":132,"margin":121,"vol5m":319,"margin_persistence_24h":0.54,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":30},{"item_id":11229,"name":"Dragon arrow(p++)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:27:00Z","high":1905,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:27:02Z","high_age_s":281,"low":1800,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:27:30Z","low_age_s":253,"margin":67,"vol5m":2575,"margin_persistence_24h":0.71,"persist_obs_hours":20,"roundtrips_24h":30},{"item_id":11242,"name":"Gourmet impling jar","ts":"2026-08-01T23:28:00Z","high":3921,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:21:15Z","high_age_s":628,"low":3769,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:28:25Z","low_age_s":198,"margin":74,"vol5m":492,"margin_persistence_24h":0.5,"persist_obs_hours":24,"roundtrips_24h":35},{"item_id":21146,"name":"Necklace of passage(5)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":1949,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:27Z","high_age_s":76,"low":1804,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:17:22Z","low_age_s":861,"margin":107,"vol5m":373,"margin_persistence_24h":0.46,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":41},{"item_id":21177,"name":"Expeditious bracelet","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":1263,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:07Z","high_age_s":96,"low":1139,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:17:59Z","low_age_s":824,"margin":99,"vol5m":67,"margin_persistence_24h":0.04,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":35},{"item_id":21932,"name":"Opal dragon bolts (e)","ts":"2026-08-01T23:29:00Z","high":2997,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:28:47Z","high_age_s":176,"low":2901,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:01Z","low_age_s":162,"margin":37,"vol5m":2077,"margin_persistence_24h":0.96,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":46},{"item_id":22446,"name":"Vial of blood","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":7899,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:39Z","high_age_s":64,"low":7699,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:04Z","low_age_s":159,"margin":43,"vol5m":496,"margin_persistence_24h":0.42,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":26},{"item_id":31406,"name":"Dragon nails","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":15011,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:24:35Z","high_age_s":428,"low":14349,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:29:51Z","low_age_s":112,"margin":362,"vol5m":795,"margin_persistence_24h":0.04,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":22},{"item_id":32889,"name":"Lead bar","ts":"2026-08-01T23:30:00Z","high":2719,"high_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:34Z","high_age_s":69,"low":2581,"low_time":"2026-08-01T23:30:28Z","low_age_s":75,"margin":84,"vol5m":881,"margin_persistence_24h":0.75,"persist_obs_hours":25,"roundtrips_24h":46}],"meta":{"requested":10,"resolved":10}}

call 4 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:43Z, 47ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"31406","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 5 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:46Z, 40ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"32889","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 6 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:46Z, 21ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"11229","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 7 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:46Z, 23ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"11242","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 8 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:46Z, 28ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"21146","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 9 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:50Z, 16ms)

params:

{"grain":"5m","lookback":"48h","name_or_id":"11242","source":"5m"}

result:

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… (truncated, 45664 bytes total)

call 10 — quotes (2026-08-01T23:31:50Z, 43ms)

params:

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result:

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call 11 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:56Z, 58ms)

params:

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result:

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call 12 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:56Z, 31ms)

params:

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result:

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call 13 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:56Z, 27ms)

params:

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result:

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call 14 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:31:56Z, 29ms)

params:

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result:

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call 15 — top_flips (2026-08-01T23:32:01Z, 685ms)

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… (truncated, 10951 bytes total)

call 16 — top_flips (2026-08-01T23:32:02Z, 667ms)

params:

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result:

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… (truncated, 10999 bytes total)

call 17 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:07Z, 56ms)

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result:

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call 18 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:07Z, 24ms)

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call 19 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:07Z, 31ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"7218","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 20 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:07Z, 25ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"30068","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 21 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:12Z, 33ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"11992","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 22 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:12Z, 15ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"30848","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 23 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:12Z, 36ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"2485","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 24 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:12Z, 12ms)

params:

{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"241","source":"5m"}

result:

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call 25 — quotes (2026-08-01T23:32:20Z, 39ms)

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result:

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call 26 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:20Z, 36ms)

params:

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result:

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call 27 — seasonality (2026-08-01T23:32:24Z, 171ms)

params:

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… (truncated, 18701 bytes total)

call 28 — seasonality (2026-08-01T23:32:24Z, 315ms)

params:

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result:

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… (truncated, 18567 bytes total)

call 29 — seasonality (2026-08-01T23:32:25Z, 279ms)

params:

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result:

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… (truncated, 18680 bytes total)

call 30 — volume_zscore (2026-08-01T23:32:31Z, 20.259s)

params:

{"limit":15,"min_baseline_obs":10,"min_volume":200}

result:

{"as_of":"2026-08-01T23:32:51.823332262Z","data_window":null,"row_count":0,"rows":[],"note":"no anomalies pass the gates in this window","meta":{"baseline":"same_how","note":"z vs the item's OWN baseline; same_how n is thin at ~4 weeks of data (n_baseline). Post-shock volume overstates what a strategy can fill once the shock passes.","window":"1h"}}

call 31 — item_history (2026-08-01T23:32:56Z, 22ms)

params:

{"grain":"5m","lookback":"48h","name_or_id":"5952","source":"5m"}

result:

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… (truncated, 61596 bytes total)