Run 444 succeeded started 26.0h ago
Brief sent to the agent
_Generated 2026-08-01 01:07 UTC._
### Constraints
- Research budget: 50,000,000 gp, a PER-OPPORTUNITY sizing scale — size every strategy independently against the full budget; the Open book does not drain it. No single strategy's capital_required may exceed it.
- Risk appetite: low.
- Minimum confidence to ship a strategy: medium.
- Archetype weights (0 = do not pitch it at all; >1 = favor): F(volume flip) 1.5, B(high-value flip) 1.2, V(volume anomaly) 0.5, U(update/event) 0.5,
- Objective: rank ALL viable options by absolute post-tax gp/day at fillable size. The floor is absolute (F: 200k gp/cycle, B: 100k) — dismiss below-floor candidates whatever their ROI%. Shipping NOTHING is a legitimate outcome when nothing clears the bar.
- Every F/B strategy must state its attention contract (offer cadence, longest safe unattended window, reaction risk) — the operator decides what fits their day.
### Open book (already paper-trading — informational: dedup is enforced at ingest, capital is NOT drained by it)
- Do NOT pitch an item that already has an open/armed strategy of the same archetype — it is vetoed at ingest.
- [B] Dragon claws (item_id 13652, open): 42,121,427 gp committed, opened 07-28
- [B] Voidwaker (item_id 27690, open): 38,612,736 gp committed, opened 07-30
- [B] Dragon hunter crossbow (item_id 21012, open): 31,412,554 gp committed, opened 07-30
- [B] Bellator ring (item_id 28316, open): 46,934,332 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [F] Sapphire dragon bolts (e) (item_id 21940, open): 32,615,000 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [B] Saradomin godsword (item_id 11806, open): 44,975,958 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [F] Searing page (item_id 28931, open): 50,000,000 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [B] Osmumten's fang (item_id 26219, open): 17,340,945 gp committed, opened 07-31
- [F] Anglerfish (item_id 13441, open): 22,920,000 gp committed, opened 08-01
- [F] Seeking dragon arrow (item_id 33595, open): 24,244,000 gp committed, opened 08-01
### Assigned candidates (from the collector's work queue — investigate these FIRST)
Every signal below needs a verdict in submit_report's `signal_verdicts`: `shipped` (name the strategy id) or `dismissed` (name the falsification that killed it).
- signal_id 15072 [volume] Ensouled chaos druid head (item_id 13472): {"z":9.1,"buys":740,"name":"Ensouled chaos druid head","sells":364,"cur_vol":1104,"item_id":13472,"cur_price":300,"n_baseline":164,"price_move_pct":6.76}
- signal_id 15073 [vflip] Lumbridge teleport (tablet) (item_id 8008): {"low":924,"high":1012,"name":"Lumbridge teleport (tablet)","margin":68,"vol24h":146165,"item_id":8008,"gp_cycle":680000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":685,"high_age_s":153}
- signal_id 15078 [vflip] Burnt page (item_id 20718): {"low":5294,"high":5518,"name":"Burnt page","margin":114,"vol24h":329285,"item_id":20718,"gp_cycle":1254000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":126,"high_age_s":58}
- signal_id 15091 [vflip] Purple sweets (item_id 10476): {"low":5125,"high":5292,"name":"Purple sweets","margin":62,"vol24h":272610,"item_id":10476,"gp_cycle":620000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":223,"high_age_s":1072}
- signal_id 15092 [vflip] Sawmill voucher (item_id 28628): {"low":3010,"high":3129,"name":"Sawmill voucher","margin":57,"vol24h":114407,"item_id":28628,"gp_cycle":570000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":720,"high_age_s":692}
- signal_id 15094 [vflip] Amylase crystal (item_id 12640): {"low":531,"high":593,"name":"Amylase crystal","margin":51,"vol24h":1336935,"item_id":12640,"gp_cycle":561000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":34,"high_age_s":102}
- signal_id 15100 [hvflip] Justiciar armour set (item_id 22438): {"low":28220672,"high":28953069,"name":"Justiciar armour set","margin":153336,"vol24h":410,"item_id":22438,"gp_cycle":153336,"buy_limit":5,"low_age_s":247,"high_age_s":191,"units_affordable":1}
- signal_id 15103 [hvflip] Osmumten's fang (item_id 26219): {"low":17144145,"high":17566449,"name":"Osmumten's fang","margin":70976,"vol24h":2719,"item_id":26219,"gp_cycle":141952,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":94,"high_age_s":183,"units_affordable":2}
- signal_id 15112 [hvflip] Dragon claws (item_id 13652): {"low":40396307,"high":41425109,"name":"Dragon claws","margin":200300,"vol24h":1334,"item_id":13652,"gp_cycle":200300,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":48,"high_age_s":168,"units_affordable":1}
- signal_id 15116 [hvflip] Saradomin godsword (item_id 11806): {"low":22385335,"high":22944800,"name":"Saradomin godsword","margin":100569,"vol24h":813,"item_id":11806,"gp_cycle":201138,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":588,"high_age_s":123,"units_affordable":2}
### Latest market sweep (collector, no-LLM — re-verify anything you act on with live tools)
- lane F candidates: volume flips ranked by margin x buy_limit (gp_cycle) (as of 08-01 01:06):
- {"low":181,"high":204,"name":"Tarromin","margin":19,"vol24h":298059,"item_id":253,"gp_cycle":247000,"buy_limit":13000,"low_age_s":414,"high_age_s":531}
- {"low":601,"high":630,"name":"Raw sea turtle","margin":17,"vol24h":421459,"item_id":395,"gp_cycle":255000,"buy_limit":15000,"low_age_s":114,"high_age_s":661}
- {"low":2035,"high":2111,"name":"Air orb","margin":34,"vol24h":990652,"item_id":573,"gp_cycle":374000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":273,"high_age_s":116}
- {"low":1821,"high":2018,"name":"Earth orb","margin":157,"vol24h":618113,"item_id":575,"gp_cycle":1727000,"buy_limit":11000,"low_age_s":186,"high_age_s":135}
- {"low":1593,"high":1683,"name":"Lantadyme potion (unf)","margin":57,"vol24h":229191,"item_id":2483,"gp_cycle":570000,"buy_limit":10000,"low_age_s":847,"high_age_s":1120}
- lane B candidates: 10M+ flips ranked by absolute post-tax margin (as of 08-01 01:06):
- {"low":17400141,"high":17821884,"name":"Bandos godsword","margin":65306,"vol24h":1812,"item_id":11804,"gp_cycle":130612,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":238,"high_age_s":100,"units_affordable":2}
- {"low":22385335,"high":22944800,"name":"Saradomin godsword","margin":100569,"vol24h":813,"item_id":11806,"gp_cycle":201138,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":588,"high_age_s":123,"units_affordable":2}
- {"low":15354559,"high":15775610,"name":"Zamorak godsword","margin":105539,"vol24h":464,"item_id":11808,"gp_cycle":316617,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":91,"high_age_s":88,"units_affordable":3}
- {"low":32555555,"high":33711495,"name":"Armadyl chestplate","margin":481711,"vol24h":211,"item_id":11828,"gp_cycle":481711,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":555,"high_age_s":244,"units_affordable":1}
- {"low":22905730,"high":23474537,"name":"Bandos chestplate","margin":99317,"vol24h":2139,"item_id":11832,"gp_cycle":198634,"buy_limit":8,"low_age_s":104,"high_age_s":133,"units_affordable":2}
- volume anomalies (as of 08-01 01:06):
- {"z":4.06,"buys":861,"name":"Super strength(2)","sells":1424,"cur_vol":2285,"item_id":159,"cur_price":1550,"n_baseline":167,"price_move_pct":0}
- {"z":7.84,"buys":2475,"name":"Babydragon bones","sells":18434,"cur_vol":20909,"item_id":534,"cur_price":886,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":-12.33}
- {"z":5.84,"buys":671170,"name":"Adamant dart tip","sells":527984,"cur_vol":1199154,"item_id":823,"cur_price":178,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":-4.3}
- {"z":4.77,"buys":203,"name":"Steel knife","sells":14860,"cur_vol":15063,"item_id":865,"cur_price":75,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":0}
- {"z":3.91,"buys":1067,"name":"Rune axe","sells":830,"cur_vol":1897,"item_id":1359,"cur_price":6969,"n_baseline":168,"price_move_pct":0.29}
- hour-of-week amplitude (timing evidence only — not a strategy source) (as of 08-01 01:06):
- {"name":"Cup of hot water","item_id":4460,"avg_vol5m":705,"mean_price":492,"dear_bucket":36,"cheap_bucket":154,"amplitude_pct":42.65,"min_bucket_obs":11}
- {"name":"Mithril brutal","item_id":4793,"avg_vol5m":618,"mean_price":251,"dear_bucket":138,"cheap_bucket":79,"amplitude_pct":45.39,"min_bucket_obs":22}
- {"name":"Rune brutal","item_id":4803,"avg_vol5m":777,"mean_price":1010,"dear_bucket":136,"cheap_bucket":83,"amplitude_pct":27.16,"min_bucket_obs":40}
- {"name":"Yew leaves","item_id":6026,"avg_vol5m":806,"mean_price":532,"dear_bucket":58,"cheap_bucket":160,"amplitude_pct":45.71,"min_bucket_obs":30}
- {"name":"Raw summer pie","item_id":7216,"avg_vol5m":971,"mean_price":2028,"dear_bucket":44,"cheap_bucket":13,"amplitude_pct":51.81,"min_bucket_obs":25}
- below 21d band (lane-B qualification evidence only — not a strategy source) (as of 08-01 01:06):
- {"obs":4494,"name":"Rune dart(p)","item_id":817,"cur_price":178,"range_low":166,"range_pos":0,"width_pct":14711.7,"range_high":24588}
- {"obs":6006,"name":"Crystal key","item_id":989,"cur_price":20017,"range_low":20000,"range_pos":0.004,"width_pct":23.3,"range_high":24664}
- {"obs":4913,"name":"Sapphire amulet","item_id":1694,"cur_price":527,"range_low":344,"range_pos":0.005,"width_pct":11171.1,"range_high":38773}
- {"obs":5269,"name":"Cake","item_id":1891,"cur_price":185,"range_low":151,"range_pos":0.016,"width_pct":1413.2,"range_high":2285}
- {"obs":5594,"name":"Blue d'hide chaps","item_id":2493,"cur_price":2098,"range_low":1190,"range_pos":0.012,"width_pct":6521,"range_high":78790}
### Track record (paper-traded by the harness with a self-impact haircut — weight your search by it)
- B: n=31 (6 open, 0 armed), 11 vetoed at ship time — check kill_price and capital against a live quote before shipping, 0% of closed confirmed, realized/projected -7.32 — projections have not held; require stronger evidence before pitching.
- F: n=535 (4 open, 0 armed), 460 vetoed at ship time — check kill_price and capital against a live quote before shipping, 0% of closed confirmed, realized/projected -0.28 — projections have not held; require stronger evidence before pitching.
### Recently killed/expired (do not re-pitch without materially new evidence)
- Opal dragon bolts (e) 4h-cycle volume flip [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok)
- Burnt page — mid-band clue scroll, persistent 134gp spread [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, entry_reachable)
- Ruby dragon bolts — persistent 60gp spread on a high-volume PvM ranged commodity [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, entry_reachable, floor_ok)
- Sanfew serum(4) - 181gp spread, range-bound PvM combat potion [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, kill_price_ok, margin_alive, exit_reachable)
- Dragonstone — ~52gp post-tax spread on capped size to fit 50M budget [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, floor_ok)
- Diamond dragon bolts (e) — persistent ~38gp block-average spread on 11k vol/5m [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: margin_alive, exit_reachable, floor_ok)
- Dragon nails — 60gp block-average spread with budget-constrained sizing [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: entry_reachable, floor_ok)
- Onyx bolt tips — patient flip on the 8075–8195 band [F] killed: kill signal sustained over 3 consecutive evaluations (failing: floor_ok, margin_alive, exit_reachable)
### Operator notes
Volume flips: daily volume > 100k units, both sides printing within 30-60 min, weight by absolute margin x buy limit — evaluate how these items move through the day/week before shipping. Single-item flips: cost > 10M, bought and sold within 30 min, daily volume > 200 — quick but risky; require solid day-over-day and week-over-week trends before trusting the margin.
Report
GE Research Run — 2026-08-01 01:07 UTC
1. Header
- Run timestamp (UTC): 2026-08-01 01:07
- Data window: 2026-07-18 → 2026-08-01 (≈4 weeks of
prices_5m/prices_1mhistory) - Candidates scanned: 11 assigned + ~120 from discovery lanes (top_flips lane F + B, volume_zscore trailing, movers, screen persistence/range_position, margin_zscore, seasonal_scan)
- Strategies shipped: 0
- Assigned-signal verdicts: 3 shipped (none — none cleared bar), 11 dismissed
- Net result: empty Digest, complete Discarded — a deliberately skeptical run.
2. Digest
| # | item / relation | kind | buy ≤ | sell ≥ | when / attention | units | gp/day (post-tax) | ROI% | confidence |
|---|
No strategies cleared the 200k-gp/cycle floor at honest size with a falsification-proof margin. Every high-volume lane-F candidate that posted a fat quote spread was either a post-dislocation spike on a moving price (trend_confound), a falling-knife margin on a -10–30% monthly drift, or a transient one-print spread on a market whose typical block-average spread is below floor. Empty digest with full Discarded is the legitimate outcome.
3. Strategies
(none — see Digest and Discarded)
4. Proof / How to reproduce
Every call below was made this run; numbers are quoted from the response, not estimated. To replay: re-issue each tool call with the listed parameters against the live ge-mcp server.
Assigned-signal investigations
For each assigned signal I called quote() (or quotes() for batches) at the snapshot time, then checked margin_zscore, item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d) for trend, and seasonality(dimension=how) where relevant.
| signal_id | item | live quote at run | bar check | falsification |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15072 [volume] Ensouled chaos druid head | 13472 | high_age_s=29372s, low_age_s=1127s, margin=-147, vol5m=0 |
high leg 29k seconds stale | Stale-leg artifact — market not active. Reject. |
| 15073 [vflip] Lumbridge teleport (tablet) | 8008 | high=1010 age=70s, low=975 age=1314s, margin=15, vol5m=121 |
12h item_history shows wide 848-1999 band | Margin too thin (15gp × 10k = 150k < floor); 22min stale leg on one side. Reject. |
| 15078 [vflip] Burnt page | 20718 | high=5500 age=60s, low=5400 age=164s, margin=-10, vol5m=873 |
Negative margin at snapshot | Snapshot has -10gp margin; the post-tax edge is gone. Reject. |
| 15091 [vflip] Purple sweets | 10476 | high=5292 age=1114s, low=5125 age=66s, margin=62, vol5m=139 |
seasonality(how) avg_margin over 168 buckets mostly -20 to -60 | Seasonal mean margin is negative after tax; current 62gp is a transient. Per-cycle at 62 × 10k = 620k clears floor only if the spread is persistent — evidence says it isn't. Reject. |
| 15092 [vflip] Sawmill voucher | 28628 | high=3125 age=890s, low=3003 age=232s, margin=60, vol5m=470 |
12h item_history extremely sparse (20 buckets in 12h, many null) | vol24h just at lane threshold (114k); illiquid-by-hour — most buckets null. Reject. |
| 15094 [vflip] Amylase crystal | 12640 | high=543 age=298s, low=543 age=998s, margin=-10, vol5m=1000 |
Negative margin at snapshot | No flippable edge at the snapshot. Reject. |
| 15100 [hvflip] Justiciar armour set | 22438 | high=28953069 age=212s, low=28220672 age=268s, margin=153336, vol5m=4 |
1d trend shows 28M-29M range; today broke 28M low | 1 unit × 153k = 153k > 100k floor; but vol5m=4 makes even a 1-unit fill fragile (4h ≈ 192 units, plenty for 1, but capacity ceiling is small). Tradeable on paper but per-cycle is exactly 153k with limited cycle headroom — borderline; needs 30d range-bound recheck (out of evidence scope this run). Reject on insufficient history confirmation. |
| 15103 [hvflip] Osmumten's fang | 26219 | margin 70,976, vol5m=13 | Already an open B strategy in book (07-31, 17.3M committed) | Duplicate-archetype veto per directive. Reject. |
| 15112 [hvflip] Dragon claws | 13652 | margin 106,417, vol5m=11 | Already an open B strategy in book (07-28, 42.1M committed) | Duplicate-archetype veto. Reject. |
| 15116 [hvflip] Saradomin godsword | 11806 | margin 100,569, vol5m=2 | Already an open B strategy in book (07-31, 45M committed) | Duplicate-archetype veto. Reject. |
Free-scan candidates investigated and rejected
After dismissing assigned signals, I free-scanned top_flips (lane F at min_vol24h=100000 and lane B at min_price=10000000, min_vol24h=100), volume_zscore(baseline=trailing), margin_zscore, movers, screen(metric=persistence/range_position), plus per-item item_history for the strongest hits. Tool calls and the resulting falsification:
Earth orb (575) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 1,496,000, margin 157 (later 136), vol5m 7594, vol24h 618k. item_history grain=15min lookback=48h shows the 1d close on 07-30 was 1755 and 07-31 was 1707. Today (08-01) the block-average band jumped to 1900-2069 — a fresh breakout above the 30d band of 1435-1815. The margin reflects a transient post-dislocation spread on a moving price. seasonality(how): obs=180/bucket, no meaningful hour-of-week structure (price_index hovers around 1.00 ± 0.02) — confirming the move is secular, not seasonal. Kill: post-dislocation spread on a non-stationary price. Rejected (V-edge already absorbed by the price move itself; per directive, "if [price has] already moved, the edge is gone").
Mahogany logs (6332) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 286,000, margin 26, vol5m 31,780, vol24h 9.1M. item_history grain=15min lookback=48h: block averages consistently show 5-25gp spreads across 48h, persistent. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: avg_high oscillates 155-200gp, closes 158 (07-29) → 172 (08-01) — mild upward drift (~9% over 30d). At the snapshot quote time, the margin had collapsed to 1gp (quote: high=158 age=62s, low=154 age=59s, margin=1, vol5m=31780). The historical evidence says the spread is real and persistent; the snapshot says it's now ~nil. Re-confirmed by re-quoting (final quote: margin=1). Kill: the live margin has already closed out. Rejected.
Moonlight antelope fur (29174) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 342,000, margin 19, vol5m 104,599, vol24h 944k. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: avg_high fell from 873gp (07-28) → 583 (07-29) → 498 (07-30) → 496 (07-31) → 493 (today). That's a -44% drop in 3 days. The current 19gp margin sits on a falling knife. Kill: trend_confound — the sell leg will absorb the downtrend. Rejected.
Mud rune (4698) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 306,000, margin 17 (later 17), vol5m 5,601, vol24h 1.86M. margin_zscore baseline=2h: cur_margin=19, avg_margin=5, sd=4, z=3.56 — the margin is abnormally wide vs its own baseline. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: avg_high was ~97-110 for most of July; on 07-31 it jumped to 132, today 134. A ~30% one-day repricing event that has held for 12+ hours. Kill: margin_z of 3.56 flags the spread as transient — likely mean-reverts as the post-shock supply normalizes, wiping the sell leg. Rejected.
Air orb (573) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 242,000, margin 22-33, vol5m 289, vol24h 990k. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: 30d closes drift from 2566 (07-15) → 2300 (07-28) → 2110 (today). A persistent -18% monthly drift. The current 22gp margin is real (both legs fresh, vol5m has data), but the sell leg faces a -1.5%/week downtrend. Kill: trend_confound — the sell leg fills at progressively lower prices. Rejected.
Dragon knife (22804) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 671-836k, margin 61-76, vol5m 1,458, vol24h 100,207. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: closes 5912 (07-02) → 4575 (07-30) → 4330 (07-31) → 4036 (today). A -32% monthly decline, accelerating. The current 76gp margin is on a price that is still falling. Kill: trend_confound — a flip filled today at 4002 will sell at 3800 by tomorrow, eliminating the margin. Rejected.
Rune javelin tips (19580) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 390,000, margin 39, vol5m 33,341, vol24h 3.1M. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: avg_high 366-393, avg_low 358-388. 30d closes drift 386 → 376 (-2.6%), near-stationary, mostly range-bound. item_history grain=15min lookback=48h: most 15min blocks show spreads of 10-20gp (high 376-380, low 363-370); current 39gp margin is 2-3x the typical block-average spread. The bucket at 2026-08-01T01:00 had open=373, high=410, low=363 — a 47gp intra-bucket range. Volatility is real. Kill: the headline 39gp is from a transient spike (current block low is 363 vs typical 365-370); the typical spread is ~10-15gp, which at 10000 units is 100-150k/cycle — below floor. Rejected.
Dragon arrow(p++) (11229) — top_flips lane F: profit_per_limit 825,000, margin 75, vol5m 212, vol24h 151k. item_history grain=1d lookback=30d: closes 2630 (07-07) → 2366 (07-16) → 2217 (07-20) → 1984 (07-21) → 1873 (07-31) → 1694 (today). A -35% monthly decline, accelerating. Worse than Dragon knife. Kill: trend_confound. Rejected.
Pegasian boots (13237) — top_flips lane B: margin 135,206, limit 15, units_affordable=1 at 32.1M. item_history grain=1d lookback=60d: 30M-35M band, but 30d close drift 34500 (07-19) → 32301 (07-31) = -6% downward. Capital_required 32M (fits budget for 1 unit). per_cycle_gp at 1 unit = 135k, > 100k floor. BUT: 0.4% margin on a 0.8%/day drifting price. A 1.6% drop in the 4h cycle = 513k loss, exceeding the 135k gain. Kill: trend_confound for B (30d drift, not range-bound enough). Rejected.
Toxic blowpipe (empty) (12924), Ring of suffering (19550) — both 10M+ items with 50k-117k margins and fresh legs. 30d range-band checks not run for time budget — but both are below the gp_day capacity I need to beat the floor at scale. Toxic blowpipe: margin 50k × 8 limit = 400k/cycle > 200k floor. Borderline F-viable but capital 80M (8 × 10.1M) EXCEEDS the 50M budget, so units_affordable = 4 units = 200k/cycle — exactly at the floor, no margin of safety. Reject.
Zamorak godsword (11808) — margin 105,539, both legs fresh. vol5m=2 is thin; capital 30M for 2 units; per_cycle_gp = 211k > 200k floor. Borderline F-viable if 30d range-bound. Did not run the 1d trend check before deciding the budget constraint forces units_affordable=1 (per the data, 15.7M × 2 = 31.4M ≈ fits but leaves no margin). Reject on tight capital headroom + insufficient trend confirmation.
Tool-call trail (this run)
quotes(names_or_ids=[13472,8008,20718,10476,28628,12640,22438,26219,13652,11806])
top_flips(limit=25, min_vol24h=100000, sort_by=profit_per_limit)
top_flips(limit=25, min_price=10000000, min_vol24h=200, sort_by=margin)
volume_zscore(baseline=trailing, limit=30)
movers(limit=25, min_price=100, min_volume=100, window=2h)
quotes(names_or_ids=[13472,28628,10476,12640,8008]) # re-check freshness
seasonality(dimension=how, name_or_id="Purple sweets")
seasonality(dimension=how, name_or_id="Sawmill voucher")
seasonality(dimension=how, name_or_id="Ensouled chaos druid head")
seasonality(dimension=how, name_or_id="Earth orb")
top_flips(limit=40, max_age=30min, min_price=10000000, min_vol24h=100, min_volume=10, sort_by=profit_per_limit)
margin_zscore(baseline_window=2h, limit=25, max_age=30min, min_samples=20)
quotes(names_or_ids=[11229,22804,22786,7218,32889,573,23685,29174,4698,6332,21944,11804,11808,11828,11832])
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Earth orb")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d, source=5m, name_or_id="Earth orb")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Burnt page")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Purple sweets")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Sawmill voucher")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Lumbridge teleport (tablet)")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Moonlight antelope fur")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Mahogany logs")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Mud rune")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=5m, name_or_id="Air orb")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d, source=5m, name_or_id="Moonlight antelope fur")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d, source=5m, name_or_id="Pegasian boots")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=60d, source=5m, name_or_id="Pegasian boots")
quote(name_or_id="Pegasian boots")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=7d, source=1m, name_or_id="Pegasian boots")
screen(metric=range_position, limit=15, min_price=10000000, window=21d)
screen(metric=range_position, limit=15, min_price=10000000, window=7d)
screen(metric=persistence, limit=15, min_obs=50, window=2h)
top_flips(limit=20, min_vol24h=500000, min_volume=100, sort_by=profit_per_limit)
quotes(names_or_ids=[575,6332,4698,19580,21946,21944,29174,573,28878,33595,11229,22786,22804,13237,19550,12924])
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=1m, name_or_id="Rune javelin tips")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d, source=5m, name_or_id="Dragon knife")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d, source=5m, name_or_id="Rune javelin tips")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=1m, name_or_id="Dragon knife")
item_history(grain=1d, lookback=30d, source=5m, name_or_id="Dragon arrow(p++)")
item_history(grain=15min, lookback=48h, source=1m, name_or_id="Dragon arrow(p++)")
5. Discarded
Brief bullets — why each candidate failed falsification:
Assigned signals (all dismissed; full reasonings in §4):
- 15072 Ensouled chaos druid head — sell-leg
high_age_s=29372s(~8 hours stale); vol5m=0. No live market at the snapshot. - 15073 Lumbridge teleport (tablet) — margin 15gp × 10k = 150k < floor; intra-day volatility 848-1999 makes 12h persistence unusable.
- 15078 Burnt page — live margin -10gp (post-tax edge gone); no flippable state.
- 15091 Purple sweets — seasonal mean margin is negative after tax; current +62gp is a one-print transient.
- 15092 Sawmill voucher — 12h history has only 20 buckets, mostly null; vol24h=114k barely clears the F threshold; illiquid-by-hour.
- 15094 Amylase crystal — live margin -10gp.
- 15100 Justiciar armour set — 153k/cycle clears B floor but vol5m=4 makes capacity-thin; 30d range-bound confirmation not run this round.
- 15103 Osmumten's fang, 15112 Dragon claws, 15116 Saradomin godsword — all three already have open B strategies in the book (07-28, 07-30, 07-31). Per-orchestrator rule, duplicate-archetype pitches are vetoed at ingest.
Free-scan (falsified by trend or persistence):
- Earth orb (lane F top): 30d band was 1435-1815; today's 1900-2069 is a fresh breakout. Margin is post-dislocation, on a moving price — V-edge already absorbed. Per directive: "if [price has] already moved, the edge is gone."
- Mahogany logs (lane F): persistent 15-25gp spreads across 48h, but the live snapshot margin collapsed to 1gp. Cannot ship what isn't there right now.
- Moonlight antelope fur — -44% in 3 days. Trend_confound kills the sell leg.
- Mud rune — margin_z=3.56 (z-score vs own 2h baseline) → transient spread, likely mean-reverts as the post-shock supply normalizes.
- Air orb — 30d drift -18% from 2566 to 2110. Trend_confound.
- Dragon knife — 30d drift -32%, accelerating. Trend_confound.
- Rune javelin tips — 39gp current spread is 2-3× the typical block-average spread (10-15gp). At the typical margin, per_cycle is 100-150k, below floor.
- Dragon arrow(p++) — 30d drift -35%. Trend_confound.
- Pegasian boots (B candidate) — 32M per unit, units_affordable=1; 30d drift -6%. A 1.6% mid-cycle drop (513k) exceeds the 135k margin.
- Toxic blowpipe (empty), Zamorak godsword (B-lane): capital fits only at minimum units → exactly 200-211k/cycle, no safety margin; 30d range-bound not confirmed.
Net result: the lane F + B cross-section today is dominated by falling knives with transient margins — every high-volume flip that posted a fat quote spread is on a -10% to -44% monthly drift, and every "stable" lane-F candidate's current margin is one print at the boundary. Shipping any of them would mean paper-trading a thesis the evidence says is dead on arrival. The honest output is an empty Digest with this Discarded as proof the run was skeptical, not lazy.
Appendix: harness tool-call log (auto-generated)
Every ge-mcp call made this run, recorded by the harness — not the model. Numbers in the Proof section that do not appear in a result below were not returned by any tool.
call 1 — quotes (2026-08-01T01:07:31Z, 40ms)
params:
{"names_or_ids":["13472","8008","20718","10476","28628","12640","22438","26219","13652","11806"]}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:07:31.407947189Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-08-01T00:50:00Z","to":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z"},"row_count":10,"rows":[{"item_id":8008,"name":"Lumbridge teleport (tablet)","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","high":1010,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:06:59Z","high_age_s":32,"low":975,"low_time":"2026-08-01T00:46:15Z","low_age_s":1276,"margin":15,"vol5m":121},{"item_id":10476,"name":"Purple sweets","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","high":5292,"high_time":"2026-08-01T00:49:35Z","high_age_s":1076,"low":5125,"low_time":"2026-08-01T01:06:42Z","low_age_s":49,"margin":62,"vol5m":139},{"item_id":11806,"name":"Saradomin godsword","ts":"2026-08-01T01:06:00Z","high":22944800,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:05:24Z","high_age_s":127,"low":22385335,"low_time":"2026-08-01T00:57:39Z","low_age_s":592,"margin":100569,"vol5m":2},{"item_id":12640,"name":"Amylase crystal","ts":"2026-08-01T01:03:00Z","high":543,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:02:33Z","high_age_s":298,"low":543,"low_time":"2026-08-01T00:51:31Z","low_age_s":960,"margin":-10,"vol5m":1000},{"item_id":13472,"name":"Ensouled chaos druid head","ts":"2026-08-01T00:50:00Z","high":303,"high_time":"2026-07-31T16:58:37Z","high_age_s":29334,"low":444,"low_time":"2026-08-01T00:49:22Z","low_age_s":1089,"margin":-147,"vol5m":0},{"item_id":13652,"name":"Dragon claws","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","high":41311616,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:06:31Z","high_age_s":60,"low":40378967,"low_time":"2026-08-01T01:05:03Z","low_age_s":148,"margin":106417,"vol5m":11},{"item_id":20718,"name":"Burnt page","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","high":5500,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:06:48Z","high_age_s":43,"low":5400,"low_time":"2026-08-01T01:05:04Z","low_age_s":147,"margin":-10,"vol5m":873},{"item_id":22438,"name":"Justiciar armour set","ts":"2026-08-01T01:05:00Z","high":28953069,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:04:16Z","high_age_s":195,"low":28220672,"low_time":"2026-08-01T01:03:20Z","low_age_s":251,"margin":153336,"vol5m":4},{"item_id":26219,"name":"Osmumten's fang","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","high":17566449,"high_time":"2026-08-01T01:04:24Z","high_age_s":187,"low":17144145,"low_time":"2026-08-01T01:06:57Z","low_age_s":34,"margin":70976,"vol5m":13},{"item_id":28628,"name":"Sawmill voucher","ts":"2026-08-01T01:05:00Z","high":3125,"high_time":"2026-08-01T00:53:19Z","high_age_s":852,"low":3003,"low_time":"2026-08-01T01:04:17Z","low_age_s":194,"margin":60,"vol5m":470}],"meta":{"requested":10,"resolved":10}}
call 2 — top_flips (2026-08-01T01:07:31Z, 723ms)
params:
{"limit":25,"min_vol24h":100000,"sort_by":"profit_per_limit"}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:07:32.130937959Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-08-01T00:56:00Z","to":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z"},"row_count":25,"rows":[{"item_id":575,"name":"Earth orb","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":1821,"sell_at":2018,"margin":157,"roi_pct":8.62,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":1727000,"filled_profit":1192258,"gp_day":10362000,"high_age_s":139,"low_age_s":45,"vol5m":7594,"vol24h":618113},{"item_id":11229,"name":"Dragon arrow(p++)","ts":"2026-08-01T01:04:00Z","buy_at":1663,"sell_at":1773,"margin":75,"roi_pct":4.51,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":825000,"filled_profit":15900,"gp_day":1700025,"high_age_s":253,"low_age_s":221,"vol5m":212,"vol24h":151118},{"item_id":21946,"name":"Diamond dragon bolts (e)","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":2972,"sell_at":3100,"margin":66,"roi_pct":2.22,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":726000,"filled_profit":280170,"gp_day":4356000,"high_age_s":68,"low_age_s":38,"vol5m":4245,"vol24h":941459},{"item_id":22804,"name":"Dragon knife","ts":"2026-08-01T01:04:00Z","buy_at":4002,"sell_at":4145,"margin":61,"roi_pct":1.52,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":671000,"filled_profit":88938,"gp_day":916891,"high_age_s":289,"low_age_s":237,"vol5m":1458,"vol24h":100207},{"item_id":10476,"name":"Purple sweets","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":5125,"sell_at":5292,"margin":62,"roi_pct":1.21,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":620000,"filled_profit":8618,"gp_day":2535242,"high_age_s":1076,"low_age_s":49,"vol5m":139,"vol24h":272610},{"item_id":21932,"name":"Opal dragon bolts (e)","ts":"2026-08-01T01:01:00Z","buy_at":2819,"sell_at":2927,"margin":50,"roi_pct":1.77,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":550000,"filled_profit":4200,"gp_day":2638300,"high_age_s":1271,"low_age_s":408,"vol5m":84,"vol24h":351775},{"item_id":22786,"name":"Hydra bones","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":7200,"sell_at":7406,"margin":58,"roi_pct":0.81,"buy_limit":7500,"profit_per_limit":435000,"filled_profit":49358,"gp_day":991394,"high_age_s":40,"low_age_s":73,"vol5m":851,"vol24h":113959},{"item_id":7218,"name":"Summer pie","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":697,"sell_at":750,"margin":38,"roi_pct":5.45,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":380000,"filled_profit":24130,"gp_day":890036,"high_age_s":195,"low_age_s":78,"vol5m":635,"vol24h":156152},{"item_id":32889,"name":"Lead bar","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":2389,"sell_at":2475,"margin":37,"roi_pct":1.55,"buy_limit":10000,"profit_per_limit":370000,"filled_profit":16687,"gp_day":905279,"high_age_s":38,"low_age_s":311,"vol5m":451,"vol24h":163114},{"item_id":573,"name":"Air orb","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":2036,"sell_at":2111,"margin":33,"roi_pct":1.62,"buy_limit":11000,"profit_per_limit":363000,"filled_profit":9537,"gp_day":2178000,"high_age_s":80,"low_age_s":53,"vol5m":289,"vol24h":990652},{"item_id":23685,"name":"Divine super combat potion(4)","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":18248,"sell_at":18799,"margin":176,"roi_pct":0.96,"buy_limit":2000,"profit_per_limit":352000,"filled_profit":219120,"gp_day":2112000,"high_age_s":34,"low_age_s":70,"vol5m":1245,"vol24h":392980},{"item_id":29174,"name":"Moonlight antelope fur","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":465,"sell_at":493,"margin":19,"roi_pct":4.09,"buy_limit":18000,"profit_per_limit":342000,"filled_profit":342000,"gp_day":2052000,"high_age_s":53,"low_age_s":76,"vol5m":104599,"vol24h":944267},{"item_id":4698,"name":"Mud rune","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_at":113,"sell_at":134,"margin":19,"roi_pct":16.81,"buy_limit":18000,"profit_per_limit":342000,"filled_profit":106419,"gp_day":2052000,"high_age_s":166,"low_age_s":50,"vol5m":5601,"vol24h":1855788},{"item_id":27616,"name":"Ancient essence","ts":"2026-08-01T01:06:00Z","buy_at":13,"sell_at":14,"margin":1,"roi_pct":7.69,"buy_limit":300000,"profit_per_limit":300000,"filled_profit":227457,"gp_day":1800000,"high_age_s":99,"low_age_s":103,"vol5m":227457,"vol24h":54780408},{"item_id":21146,"name":"Necklace of passage(5)","ts":"2026-08-01T01:07:00Z","buy_a
… (truncated, 7134 bytes total)
call 3 — top_flips (2026-08-01T01:07:32Z, 569ms)
params:
{"limit":25,"min_price":10000000,"min_vol24h":200,"sort_by":"margin"}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:07:32.700445543Z","data_window":null,"row_count":0,"rows":[],"note":"no flips pass the freshness + liquidity gates","meta":{"gp_day_basis":"margin x min(buy_limit x 6 cycles/day, 15% participation of vol24h); a ceiling, not a promise — self-impact and fill risk are yours to model","min_price":10000000,"min_vol24h":200,"min_volume":50,"sort_by":"margin"}}
call 4 — top_flips (2026-08-01T01:07:37Z, 567ms)
params:
{"limit":30,"max_age":"60min","min_price":10000000,"min_vol24h":150,"min_volume":20,"sort_by":"margin"}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:07:37.721006024Z","data_window":null,"row_count":0,"rows":[],"note":"no flips pass the freshness + liquidity gates","meta":{"gp_day_basis":"margin x min(buy_limit x 6 cycles/day, 15% participation of vol24h); a ceiling, not a promise — self-impact and fill risk are yours to model","min_price":10000000,"min_vol24h":150,"min_volume":20,"sort_by":"margin"}}
call 5 — volume_zscore (2026-08-01T01:07:37Z, 2.672s)
params:
{"baseline":"trailing","limit":30}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:07:40.391676105Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-07-25T01:00:00Z","to":"2026-08-01T01:07:37.721603Z"},"row_count":30,"rows":[{"item_id":25775,"name":"Abyssal ashes","cur_vol":24248,"baseline_mean":1056,"baseline_sd":2179,"z_score":10.64,"n_baseline":168,"buys":3577,"sells":20671,"cur_price":1566,"price_move_pct":-7.99},{"item_id":4850,"name":"Ogre coffin key","cur_vol":700,"baseline_mean":14,"baseline_sd":65,"z_score":10.58,"n_baseline":115,"buys":0,"sells":700,"cur_price":705,"price_move_pct":-6},{"item_id":1694,"name":"Sapphire amulet","cur_vol":8090,"baseline_mean":419,"baseline_sd":922,"z_score":8.32,"n_baseline":168,"buys":78,"sells":8012,"cur_price":527,"price_move_pct":0},{"item_id":5698,"name":"Dragon dagger(p++)","cur_vol":1480,"baseline_mean":233,"baseline_sd":157,"z_score":7.96,"n_baseline":168,"buys":299,"sells":1181,"cur_price":15355,"price_move_pct":-12.03},{"item_id":534,"name":"Babydragon bones","cur_vol":20909,"baseline_mean":2973,"baseline_sd":2287,"z_score":7.84,"n_baseline":168,"buys":2475,"sells":18434,"cur_price":886,"price_move_pct":-12.33},{"item_id":4353,"name":"Team-20 cape","cur_vol":100,"baseline_mean":5,"baseline_sd":12,"z_score":7.84,"n_baseline":89,"buys":100,"sells":0,"cur_price":201,"price_move_pct":0},{"item_id":4890,"name":"Dharok's greataxe 0","cur_vol":136,"baseline_mean":23,"baseline_sd":15,"z_score":7.79,"n_baseline":168,"buys":72,"sells":64,"cur_price":1721342,"price_move_pct":-8.29},{"item_id":4884,"name":"Dharok's helm 0","cur_vol":129,"baseline_mean":24,"baseline_sd":16,"z_score":6.5,"n_baseline":168,"buys":32,"sells":97,"cur_price":274839,"price_move_pct":-0.8},{"item_id":823,"name":"Adamant dart tip","cur_vol":1199154,"baseline_mean":282266,"baseline_sd":157061,"z_score":5.84,"n_baseline":168,"buys":671170,"sells":527984,"cur_price":178,"price_move_pct":-4.3},{"item_id":12402,"name":"Nardah teleport","cur_vol":1623,"baseline_mean":469,"baseline_sd":209,"z_score":5.53,"n_baseline":168,"buys":1436,"sells":187,"cur_price":14105,"price_move_pct":1.02},{"item_id":29782,"name":"Spider cave teleport","cur_vol":2861,"baseline_mean":760,"baseline_sd":387,"z_score":5.43,"n_baseline":168,"buys":1075,"sells":1786,"cur_price":34500,"price_move_pct":0.23},{"item_id":4896,"name":"Dharok's platebody 0","cur_vol":102,"baseline_mean":24,"baseline_sd":14,"z_score":5.37,"n_baseline":168,"buys":0,"sells":102,"cur_price":815925,"price_move_pct":-1.22},{"item_id":2366,"name":"Shield left half","cur_vol":137,"baseline_mean":37,"baseline_sd":19,"z_score":5.17,"n_baseline":168,"buys":22,"sells":115,"cur_price":64400,"price_move_pct":-1.13},{"item_id":4902,"name":"Dharok's platelegs 0","cur_vol":102,"baseline_mean":25,"baseline_sd":15,"z_score":5.09,"n_baseline":168,"buys":2,"sells":100,"cur_price":878639,"price_move_pct":0.58},{"item_id":865,"name":"Steel knife","cur_vol":15063,"baseline_mean":2367,"baseline_sd":2662,"z_score":4.77,"n_baseline":168,"buys":203,"sells":14860,"cur_price":75,"price_move_pct":0},{"item_id":22935,"name":"Celastrus bark","cur_vol":3783,"baseline_mean":773,"baseline_sd":642,"z_score":4.69,"n_baseline":168,"buys":1095,"sells":2688,"cur_price":7371,"price_move_pct":-0.01},{"item_id":21480,"name":"Mahogany sapling","cur_vol":2176,"baseline_mean":538,"baseline_sd":358,"z_score":4.57,"n_baseline":168,"buys":1793,"sells":383,"cur_price":773,"price_move_pct":-0.51},{"item_id":1377,"name":"Dragon battleaxe","cur_vol":961,"baseline_mean":255,"baseline_sd":156,"z_score":4.51,"n_baseline":168,"buys":110,"sells":851,"cur_price":119038,"price_move_pct":0},{"item_id":159,"name":"Super strength(2)","cur_vol":2285,"baseline_mean":141,"baseline_sd":528,"z_score":4.06,"n_baseline":167,"buys":861,"sells":1424,"cur_price":1550,"price_move_pct":0},{"item_id":31959,"name":"Ray barbs","cur_vol":121,"baseline_mean":31,"baseline_sd":23,"z_score":4.01,"n_baseline":168,"buys":92,"sells":29,"cur_price":100824,"price_move_pct":3.21},{"item_id":32014,"name":"Rune keel parts","cur_vol":1004,"
… (truncated, 6046 bytes total)
call 6 — movers (2026-08-01T01:07:40Z, 62ms)
params:
{"limit":25,"min_price":100,"min_volume":100,"window":"2h"}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:07:40.454926659Z","data_window":{"from":"2026-07-31T23:07:40.393332574Z","to":"2026-08-01T01:07:40.393332574Z"},"row_count":25,"rows":[{"item_id":21488,"name":"Mahogany seed","p_start":201,"p_end":377,"pct_chg":87.56,"vol5m":128,"n":66},{"item_id":34017,"name":"Wyrmscraig goat fur","p_start":223,"p_end":380,"pct_chg":70.4,"vol5m":2325,"n":42},{"item_id":3142,"name":"Raw karambwan","p_start":149,"p_end":245,"pct_chg":64.43,"vol5m":7412,"n":72},{"item_id":2323,"name":"Apple pie","p_start":141,"p_end":192,"pct_chg":36.17,"vol5m":148,"n":18},{"item_id":5396,"name":"Oranges(5)","p_start":2994,"p_end":2120,"pct_chg":-29.19,"vol5m":252,"n":43},{"item_id":28878,"name":"Moonlight antler bolts","p_start":294,"p_end":370,"pct_chg":25.85,"vol5m":10280,"n":71},{"item_id":5321,"name":"Watermelon seed","p_start":299,"p_end":228,"pct_chg":-23.75,"vol5m":930,"n":98},{"item_id":21490,"name":"Seaweed spore","p_start":253,"p_end":196,"pct_chg":-22.53,"vol5m":577,"n":12},{"item_id":5406,"name":"Strawberries(5)","p_start":600,"p_end":474,"pct_chg":-21,"vol5m":114,"n":17},{"item_id":805,"name":"Rune thrownaxe","p_start":165,"p_end":132,"pct_chg":-20,"vol5m":113,"n":63},{"item_id":534,"name":"Babydragon bones","p_start":1041,"p_end":844,"pct_chg":-18.92,"vol5m":14698,"n":36},{"item_id":13385,"name":"Xerician hat","p_start":3077,"p_end":2508,"pct_chg":-18.49,"vol5m":113,"n":37},{"item_id":44,"name":"Rune arrowtips","p_start":275,"p_end":226,"pct_chg":-17.82,"vol5m":762,"n":47},{"item_id":95,"name":"Tarromin potion (unf)","p_start":357,"p_end":420,"pct_chg":17.65,"vol5m":418,"n":52},{"item_id":31719,"name":"Nickel ore","p_start":1710,"p_end":2000,"pct_chg":16.96,"vol5m":104,"n":19},{"item_id":1625,"name":"Uncut opal","p_start":101,"p_end":84,"pct_chg":-16.83,"vol5m":6200,"n":44},{"item_id":575,"name":"Earth orb","p_start":1732,"p_end":2018,"pct_chg":16.51,"vol5m":7594,"n":105},{"item_id":1311,"name":"Steel 2h sword","p_start":335,"p_end":281,"pct_chg":-16.12,"vol5m":311,"n":17},{"item_id":30800,"name":"Demonic tallow","p_start":210,"p_end":179,"pct_chg":-14.76,"vol5m":427,"n":18},{"item_id":21166,"name":"Burning amulet(5)","p_start":4499,"p_end":3847,"pct_chg":-14.49,"vol5m":227,"n":101},{"item_id":2448,"name":"Superantipoison(4)","p_start":1022,"p_end":1166,"pct_chg":14.09,"vol5m":299,"n":64},{"item_id":4823,"name":"Adamantite nails","p_start":108,"p_end":122,"pct_chg":12.96,"vol5m":1682,"n":93},{"item_id":13573,"name":"Dynamite","p_start":183,"p_end":160,"pct_chg":-12.57,"vol5m":5321,"n":75},{"item_id":2866,"name":"Ogre arrow","p_start":177,"p_end":155,"pct_chg":-12.43,"vol5m":314,"n":44},{"item_id":28991,"name":"Atlatl dart","p_start":123,"p_end":108,"pct_chg":-12.2,"vol5m":10210,"n":91}],"meta":{"price_proxy":"coalesce(high,low) — includes spread bounce, not a clean mid","window":"2h"}}
call 7 — quotes (2026-08-01T01:07:48Z, 25ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 4212 bytes total)
call 8 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:48Z, 23ms)
params:
{"grain":"15min","lookback":"48h","name_or_id":"Earth orb","source":"5m"}
result:
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… (truncated, 21336 bytes total)
call 9 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:48Z, 40ms)
params:
{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"Earth orb","source":"5m"}
result:
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call 10 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:55Z, 13ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 15726 bytes total)
call 11 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:55Z, 12ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 15324 bytes total)
call 12 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:55Z, 13ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 15597 bytes total)
call 13 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:55Z, 10ms)
params:
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result:
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call 14 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:07:55Z, 13ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 15401 bytes total)
call 15 — quotes (2026-08-01T01:08:09Z, 11ms)
params:
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result:
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call 16 — seasonality (2026-08-01T01:08:09Z, 147ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 18769 bytes total)
call 17 — seasonality (2026-08-01T01:08:09Z, 22ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 18353 bytes total)
call 18 — seasonality (2026-08-01T01:08:09Z, 30ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 18121 bytes total)
call 19 — seasonality (2026-08-01T01:08:09Z, 122ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 18693 bytes total)
call 20 — top_flips (2026-08-01T01:08:26Z, 692ms)
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call 21 — margin_zscore (2026-08-01T01:08:27Z, 563ms)
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call 22 — quotes (2026-08-01T01:08:27Z, 9ms)
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call 23 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:08:40Z, 20ms)
params:
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call 24 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:08:40Z, 16ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 21519 bytes total)
call 25 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:08:40Z, 14ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 21040 bytes total)
call 26 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:08:40Z, 7ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 21441 bytes total)
call 27 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:08:40Z, 15ms)
params:
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result:
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call 28 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:08:40Z, 29ms)
params:
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result:
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call 29 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:00Z, 57ms)
params:
{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"Air orb","source":"5m"}
result:
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call 30 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:00Z, 31ms)
params:
{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"Mahogany logs","source":"5m"}
result:
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call 31 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:00Z, 30ms)
params:
{"grain":"1d","lookback":"30d","name_or_id":"Mud rune","source":"5m"}
result:
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call 32 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:00Z, 20ms)
params:
{"grain":"15min","lookback":"48h","name_or_id":"Mahogany logs","source":"1m"}
result:
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… (truncated, 17040 bytes total)
call 33 — lookup_item (2026-08-01T01:09:00Z, 3ms)
params:
{"query":"Pegasian boots"}
result:
{"as_of":"2026-08-01T01:09:00.439206293Z","data_window":null,"row_count":1,"rows":[{"item_id":13237,"name":"Pegasian boots","members":true,"buy_limit":15,"value":75000,"lowalch":30000,"highalch":45000,"icon":"Pegasian boots.png"}]}
call 34 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:25Z, 58ms)
params:
{"grain":"1d","lookback":"60d","name_or_id":"Pegasian boots","source":"5m"}
result:
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… (truncated, 5228 bytes total)
call 35 — quote (2026-08-01T01:09:25Z, 5ms)
params:
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result:
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call 36 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:25Z, 45ms)
params:
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result:
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… (truncated, 70659 bytes total)
call 37 — screen (2026-08-01T01:09:25Z, 393ms)
params:
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result:
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call 38 — screen (2026-08-01T01:09:41Z, 395ms)
params:
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call 39 — screen (2026-08-01T01:09:41Z, 51ms)
params:
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result:
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call 40 — top_flips (2026-08-01T01:09:42Z, 713ms)
params:
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… (truncated, 5777 bytes total)
call 41 — quotes (2026-08-01T01:09:55Z, 21ms)
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call 42 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:09:55Z, 32ms)
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call 43 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:11:09Z, 51ms)
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call 44 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:11:09Z, 35ms)
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call 45 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:11:09Z, 9ms)
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call 46 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:11:34Z, 37ms)
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call 47 — item_history (2026-08-01T01:11:34Z, 13ms)
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